Showing posts with label cobalt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cobalt. Show all posts

Friday, December 11, 2009

is there any silver in silver valley (idaho/usa) ???

folks, i'm such a stupid idiot! why did i bought the bankrupt sterling mining clunker stocks 2day? and why not just once but twice? am i completely brain dead? let's hope i'm only a little bit confused and let's try 2 sort my thoughts! if u promise u will not laugh too loud abt me, i will tell u abt my 'stellar' move ... ok, here we go:

do u still know i've bought stocks of 3 silver companies sterling + sns + minco few months ago? well, they still fight in various legal issues on the idaho's sunshine silver mine (opened 1884, fire in 1972 with 91 dead miners, ...) and there are some other (financial) groups trying 2 take over that historic mine also ...

yesterday i got the investor's newsletter from minco telling that minco is the winner and that they will get 100% of sterling's stock for approx $12m. i just checked the sterling's current market capitalization and saw that they are going 2 pay approx 3 to 4 times the current bankruptcy-adjusted stock price ... hmmmmm, u now me already, don't u? yep, i just saw the $$ signs instead any danger and placed a limit order at €0.07 even if the last u.s. price was $0.08 (and €1 = $1.49) just 2 make sure i will get some stocks. well, there was no other buying in germany so i've ordered the next tranche @ €0.06 and seconds later it was in my portfolio as well ... i didn't get suspect at that time as i know the homo sapiens financialis is soooo damned stupid so i just relaxed and dreamt on even more $$ when the u.s. + canadian market opened. i couldn't believe my eyes! sterling fell intraday -18% there and -25% in germany after my initial purchase. later on the u.s. exchange sterling closed fraudulently at break even thx 2 a micro order moving the closing quote from -18% level directly 2 yesterday's closing price. minco? don't ask either ... they are -5.85% today. hell, does nobody understand that they've got the sunshine mine approx for free? well, the time will show if i'm right this time or mr. market instead ... prolly is the sunshine legal case far from the final firm decision now and the folks out there do know that and just me didn't :-(

what is so special abt the silver valley? silver, silver, silver! you know? if u want to, so skip to wikipedia (and come back :), i liked the short information on hecla mining's website much better:

...The Coeur d’Alene Mining District, where Hecla was born 117 years ago, is located in North Idaho’s Silver Valley along US-90, providing very convenient access and infrastructure. This district has produced 1.2 billion ounces of silver in its history - one of the most prolific silver districts in the world. Hecla has a tremendous land position here… about 25 square miles, which is an area roughly the size of Manhattan. On this land position are many historic mines, which in the aggregate have produced about 300 million ounces of silver, or about 25% of the entire historic production of the Silver Valley....

what is my part of silver valley? well, i've accumulated few stocks of:
  • hecla mining - established 1891, announced 2 pay dividends again next year :o), nice website with ticker-like commodity news [current: Every day 400 acres of asphalt roofing are nailed down. (silica, borate, limestone, trona, feldspar, talc, silica sand)]
  • coeur d’alene mines - all silver production outside the silver valley (bolivia, mexico, australia, argentina, ...)
  • u.s. silver - operates the galena + coeur mines, cash costs per 1oz silver in Q3 were $13. folks, they've lost money on balance even at silver price at record highs. oh my dear! my mexican and peruvian producers have cash costs of approx $3 - $6, my base metals producers with silver as by-product abt $1 (e.g. @ scorpio mining ~ my single biggest stock position at the moment) and there was also a company which has reported cash costs for silver of MINUS $5. silver for -5 usd? folks, got it? that's much, much, much better than silver for free! if they sold all their zinc, led, copper, they've made a profit above $5 and still have all that shiny silver on top! ... well, i didn't remember the name of that company, i think it was prolly one from the trio endeavor silver, 1st majestic silver, fortuna silver ... but i could be wrong on that ... you know, i have more than 30 silver companies in my portfolio as i can't store all of them in a single watch list @ tsx website. hell, let's hope the metal prices in Q4 will support u.s. silver a lot + their stock price will skyrocket soon + i will reach the winning zone again (btw, even if the last purchase shows a profit of abt 13% i'm still abt 15% down on u.s. silver)
  • sterling mining - est. 1903, chapter 11 in 2008, bankrupt in 2009
  • sns silver - explorer company, trying 2 bring the historical crescent mine into production
  • minco silver - cayman island based; huuuge fuwan project in china, next sunshine mine owner?
  • formation metals - explorer/junior producer of cobalt in the valley + the Sunshine Precious Metals Refinery owner
  • mines management (amex: MGN) - silver explorer, added on january 4th, 2010 => good luck my lovely portfolio newbie :-). ps: their mines are not directly in silver valley, but (as far as i could recognize @ wikipedia) just a minor step over the hills to northwest montana (montanore silver copper project). btw, their headquarters is in spokane, washington ...
  • united mining group (bought in december 2010)
  • shoshone silver/gold mining company (bought in february 2011)
  • ??? + many others ???
my conclusions:
  1. the silver valley has still a long way 2 go to reach some extraordinary production + profitability again!
  2. mexico + peru + bolivia seem 2 be a much better silver bet than usa
  3. there will be some significant consolidation of properties / companies / resources in silver valley in the near future
  4. let's visit that historical piece of earth sometime :)
ps: i will update the final status abt the sunshine mine / sterling mining later
pps: do not forget what u have promised above :)
addendum, 1 day later ;o(
oh, my dear! sterling mining is -37.50 % right now ... and has closed at -18.75% with 4 times the usual volume! a huge loss on the 2nd day of my so_sure-$$-investment, isn't it? well, this time was mr. market right and i was wrong :-(

FAQ#1: how does the silver valley looks like? hmmmmm, i will show u how it was 100 years ago, so please use your imagination (or e.g. the google search engine) to find out how it could looks like 2day, ok?

source/copyright: clayton/deer park historical society. btw, the oginal picture was/is here.

Saturday, September 26, 2009

#jarobuys cobalt + gold (formation metals + petaquilla minerals)

folks, folks, folks .... i'm such a crazy, stock exchange & shopping addicted alien!

well, i've been yesterday @ a resource conference in the best hotel bayerischer hof in munich, where 5 explorer companies + 1 trading company + the local stock exchange presented their stories to investors + general public + ... few of the companies and many of the guests have there been last year also and i could remember few of them ... i think it's nice to see some of the 'old' faces again, isn't it?

do u think there was much volume in their stocks today morning on the german stock exchanges? not reallly, few of them didn't trade at all! well, the earthlings are much more interested in free lunch (oooops, that was dinner time) + free beer + free coffee than to do some thinking for themselves ... not me! well, i just thought if that canadian companies have soooooo much money they could afford 2 invite the folks to the best place in town, they will prolly have some potential to upgrade their business anyway :). pls DO NOT TELL ME that the only reason they have 2 advertise like that is 'cos their projects are so sh*ty and they need sooooooooo much money 2 bring them into production and so on and on and on and on ...

i didn't know 2 of these 5 companies and i liked the story of the near-term cobalt producer formation capital corp. ... in winter 2009 renamed to formation metals (mines & major properties located in idaho / usa). well, even if i have invested last big portion of my idle money in july and early august as i've waited 4 the gold rally 2 come in august and was not at all dissapointed when it came in september instead, so i've opened just a small initial position in formation capital today. let's watch the company developments and maybe there will be a point in the future where i will have both, money 2 invest and faith in their operations 2 increase my stake . you know what? 3 of my portfolio companies sterling, sns, minco still fight in various legal issues on the sunshine silver mine / idaho. watch out, formation posses the Sunshine Precious Metals Refinery. crazy, isn't it?

what's the price of cobalt? i've no clue about that as there are mainly long term contracts between producers & consumers out there, BUT NEXT SPRING should cobalt become traded @ LME !!! it should bring much more public attention to that $6 billion market, isn't it?

what is cobalt used for? if i remember that correctly, it's for batteries, batteries and batteries, i think . hell, that formation guy was right! he told that todays so famous lithium-ion batteries contain more cobalt (approx. 60%) than anything else! wikipedia also confirms that from investment perspective so important fact "... Lithium cobalt oxide (LiCoO2) is widely used in Lithium ion battery electrodes.[23] Nickel-cadmium (NiCd) and nickel metal hydride (NiMH) batteries also contain significant amounts of cobalt. ... " still wanna know more about cobalt? ok, pls move 2 wikipedia 2 learn.

what about gold? few days ago i've also increased my stake in panama's emerging gold producer petaquilla minerals (see comment #6), which is one of very few companies in my portfolio they didn't decrease sharply as the gold price corrected a little this week, which draw down my struggling portfolio from its recently reached break-even-point by approx. -5%

hmmmm, i just thought if i'm really such an easy to impact dreamer or the like, so i just checked my results achieved with stocks of this kind of tip / information. folks, it is really unbelievable, but for some strange reason or an other that companies belong 2 my best performers! well, they didn't go up straight away after i've bought them and they've also been hit sooooo hard in that damned crashy october 2008 (pls, pls, pls, never come back!), but i've watched their developments and in few of them even increased my stakes between december 2008 and february 2009 aaaaaand => HERE WE GO:
  • western potash +99,29%
  • commerce resources +206,07% ... ohhh, in yesterday's so weak stock market additional +11,67%. damn, what's going up out there :o)
  • zimtu capital +161,94%
  • western geopower +43,88%
  • megastar development +41,67%
  • adamus res. +45,12%
  • dundee precious metals +57,39%
  • formation capital -5,13%
  • burcon nutrascience +5,15%
yep, i see, i should just buy companies @ presentations, isn't it?
in case u ask yourself why do i buy mostly small unknown companies and not the soooo successful blue chips, here is the answer: i've worked for siemens + bmw for sooooo many years and i've recognized there is 1 thing huge companies have in common: they waste soooo much of owners' (shareholders') money in such a stupid way that i think there is no need to give them my money on top. chakkkka!
addendum, november 18, 2009:
big, big, big fraud @ petaquilla minerals !!!
folks, now i know why this sh*ty GOLD PRODUCER stock fell the last few months like a stone from heaven even facing these so enjoyable record gold prices ...
the company news were positive, i asked even their PR team if the management is fire selling the stock 'caus there was no reason visible from outside the company and got just the message that some director will respond soon, what he of course never did ...
you know what? today came the news that the company GOT THE NEEDED APPROVAL by some panama's (panamanean?) authority 2 operate the gold mine .... hell, that means the directors knew it doesn't look nice for the company, dropped the stock ... the price lost approx 50% in few days ... thx goodness and sooooooo fine 4 my portfolio 2day becomed the opposite option true and the mine approval is here. the stock is +91.11% now ... and +111.11% as i've finished that blog post ... and 2day's high was +126.67% ... and the closing quote is +117.78%(!!!).
well, my recently bought position is slightly positive again, the managers are buying their stock back like crazy (just my guess, they didn't tell me anything as i wrote above, but you know, just look @ the recent volume and compare it to the average ... )
anyway, I DO NOT LIKE PETAQUILLA ANYMORE :-(
ps: the symbol is PTQ (@ TSX in toronto)
addendum, november 20, 2009
folks, i've got a call from petaquilla's PR guy luigi 2day ... what do u think was the message? of course, petaquilla lives in the best of all worlds ... now, where the mine permit is there + production rising + cash-flow flowing + plans 4 the future developing ...
what abt my question concerning the huge sell-off even if the gold reached one all-time-high after the next? .... hmmmm, you know ... there was no information to the shareholders for a long period of time (wanna move 2 company's homepage & check it?) .... you know ... one leaving manager was selling his stock (was he really? whould u sell a stock when the company has just started earning money? me not! even if i was an exploration expert moving 2 next opportunity i would hold all my shares + enjoy the ongoing gold production + cash-flow + dividends etc. )
well, the tape will tell us the truth soon!
on the other side, it was a very pleasant discusion and hopefully will that petaquilla-speculation work out well 4 me btw, in the past i've got already optimistic + very positive emails from CEOs and/or public relations folks from companies which went bankrupt just weeks later (web2corp) or have fallen 2 abt zero like bernanke's short term interest rates (greenshift, current quote is $0.0008 ... it is not a typo!)
addendum, november 30, 2009:
folks, luigi was right, right, right! petaquilla is +18.37% today, my latest purchase (approx 2 months ago) is +58,39% already and my overall investment needs just a small increase of approx 9% to reach the break-even point (=> tomorrow?). well the bad feeling abt the recent strange developments (see above) will stay much longer :-(
some other commodity highlights from my portfolio 2day?
  • Aquila Resources +54.17%
  • Genco Resources +21.65%
  • Magma Energy +11.11%
  • Rochester Resources -11.36%
  • Source Exploration +15.91%
  • Sterling Mining -10.00%
let's read the company news, if any, from aquila + genco + sterling, maybe there is some major change in company fundamentals :o)
explorer stocks are soooo risky and sometimes sooooo exciting! there is no need for options/warrants/etc. LOL
... 5 minutes later ... aquila? drill results! ... Aquila Resources and HudBay Minerals Back Forty Drilling Intersects 20.2 Meters of 11.5 Grams Per Tonne Gold and 119.7 Grams Per Tonne Silver8:31 AM ET, November 30, 2009...
folks, just 2 let you know how crashy the stupid october 2008 crash in the explorer business really was, i'm gonna tell u how is my overall aquila position performing till now: hell, even if i've more than doubled my initial number of shares in january 2009 near the all-time-low quote, i'm still -52,10% down, down, down .... hmmmm, do you think, they will release some next drill results like e.g. (just my guess) 40.4 Meters of 23 Grams Per Tonne Gold sooooooooon? will they?
go, commodities, go!

addendum, december 2, 2009
folks, i'm not going 2 bore u every day with the latest petaquilla quote (promised!), but you know what?
yesterday was my break-even-point for the complete petaquilla investment, 2day is petaquilla +33.33%. crazy, isn't it? just think abt bondholders! they often need years 2 reach a 30% profit and then they have 2 pay taxes on that gain ... hell, that's boring! well, the volume was 5 times higher than the average, of course was there no company news release or anything else what would fundamentally legitimate that increase ... but who cares if the things are working fine?
well, now u know why i do not trade these kind of stocks or evaluate their charts or set stop limits :=). explorer stocks are like lottery, you never know how high/deep they will go if folks becomes fearful/greedy! btw, u still remember vg gold's +127% move up on a day when rob mcewen announced his investment in it? btw, the stock is much higher now ...
heaven, this investment stuff is soooooo easy!