Showing posts with label kondratiev. Show all posts
Showing posts with label kondratiev. Show all posts

Friday, November 28, 2008

extra x-mas salary => shopping fever ;-)

yesterday 'arrived' my salary on my account and to be honest a like novembers a lot! why? there is an 120% additional 'x-mas' component included => i've invested about 1/2 of that extra money & increased my share in few of my existing positions + bought also stocks of 3 new companies via my buy-and-hold investment account ...

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my x-mas shopping list :o)):
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11/27/2008
  • amerigo resources (Cu, Mo in chile)
addendum 12.04.2025, source amerigo's website
  • cardero res. (Fe - they've sold their major peruvian project to chinese investors recently for a multiple of company's market capitalization => damned hell, if they are not going to fire cash in the coming cold winter days in their canadian office and/or will not start to throw money out of a window it should be a super-duper investment for a looong, looooong time !!!)
  • endeavour silver (Ag)
  • ETF world water (H2O)
  • mag silver (Ag - new)
  • penn west energy trust (oil, gas - monthly dividends :o)
  • scorpio mining (Pb, Zn, Ag, Au)
  • silver standard res. (Ag - new)
  • western geopower (geothermal energy - new)
12/01/2008
let's move some positions from my wish list 2 my portfolio (new funds detected :). very bad timing today as i could buy pan american silver 16.5% cheaper & novagold 19.75% cheaper in the afternoon as the market crashed in the usa from the very beginning (DJIA -7.70%, silver -10.23%, s&p500 -8.93%). cold comfort: my limit order for rochester was filled @daily low! after its rescue through the recent joint-venture agreement should this investment return nice profits :-)
  • novagold (Au - speculative! just 4 hardcore gamblers or people who can afford to risk some money! this highly sympathetic company is currently highly bankruptcy-endangered :o()
  • pan american silver (Ag - new)
  • rochester res. (Ag)
12/02/2008
  • commerce resources (tantalum, niobium - new)
  • first majestic silver (Ag - folks, they sell silver coins through their homepage for end-consumer-physical-stuff-prices, not for the manipulated(?) comex-paper-prices! clever! maximum clever!)
  • fortuna silver (Ag)
  • hecla mining (Ag, Au since 1891 - new, they ask some rotative commodity related questions @ their website :-)
12/03/2008
  • western potash (potash - new)
12/04/2008
  • allianz (insurance - new, munich!)
  • archer daniels midland (agriculture - new)
  • ConocoPhillips (oil - new)
  • man (automotive - new, munich!)
  • miranda gold (Au, share price probably bellow company's cash reserves, but it wasn't the bottom anyway ;o()
  • siemens (infrastructure, electronics, my ex-employer :o] - new, munich!)
folks, do u know why are there so many munich-based companies on my shopping list today? well, if the economic crisis will expand next year + i will not have enough money for a warm meal, then i will go to the anual stockholder meetings of my 4 munich companies (bmw, siemens, allianz, man) + get some food + drinks 4 free! what a clever idea, isn't it? let's find some food 4 the remaining 361 days of the year also! ok, 1st let's buy linde + munich re + wacker next week ;-)
12/05/2008
  • energold drilling (mining equipment (rigs) - new)
12/08/2008
  • amerigo resources (Cu, Mo)
  • bralorne gold mines (Au)
  • cardero res. (Fe)
  • freegold ventures (Au)
  • minera andes (Ag, Au - new)
  • nanostart (nanotechnology - i do believe that nanotechnology is [besides to commodities & (renewable) energy] one of the favorite industries AFTER the 2008-financial-crisis! do u still believe in banks & car makers?)
  • newmont mining (Au - new)
  • orko silver (Ag)
  • penn west energy trust (oil, gas - monthly dividends :o)
  • scorpio mining (Pb, Zn, Ag, Au)
  • silver wheaton (Ag)
12/09/2008
  • paramount gold + silver (Au + Ag)
12/10/2008
  • globex mining (Au, Zn, Cu - exporer & producer & royalty company with a portfolio of about 70 projects which are optioned to numberless JV partners)
12/10/2008
  • novagold (Au - folks, folks, folks! i thought (dreamt?) at night that this highly sympathetic + currently highly bankruptcy-endangered company would release some news about its rescue. well, i've opened their website few times in the morning + hoped i could buy some super-duper cheap shares in germany before the canadian market opens. there were no news so i decided not to enhance my just few days ago increased risky position + didn't take shares for €0.37 => i'm such a stupid idiot! with the opening of canadian market shoot that stock within minutes 72.31% higher! just rumours or some insider buying? i've bought that stock few minutes later on a temporary price correction for €0.57 (which is 54% higher than the daily low in germany), so my position including commission quotes near the daily close in canada => todays increase +52,31% WITHOUT ANY company and/or industry related NEWS :o). well, the stock is still very cheap, do not forget that the all-time-high from 2007 was CAD 20.13 (!!). of course, it was before all that mumbo-jumbo with barrick gold (hostile take-over offer @ CAD 16) + teck cominco's project cancellation @galorne creek + environmental regulations + management mistakes + financing issues ...
  • rubicon minerals (Au - new, perfect timing here! i bought in germany before the canadian market opened bellow the fair canadian price => rob mcewen's rubicon soared 18.75% today)
12/15/2008
  • google (software - new, let's invest some money in that highly innovative company which also provides this blog for free and even allows me to earn few cents/bucks through included advertising links :o)
  • mexican silver mines (Ag - folks, this explorer doesn't explore any longer! why? well, the management believes that in current market state it is cheaper to buy complete projects from struggling competitors than to spend cash on exploration of own properties. hmmmm, an interesting strategy, isn't it?) ~ addendum 11/01/2010 ~ my 1st 20-bagger  ~ OMG, OMG, OMG! crazy mining business! bought @ €0.055 on december 15th, 2008 ~ 2days quote? €1.105 which is a (tax free!) profit of +1,909.09% ~ well, the company calls itself rio alto mining and is an ongoing peruvian gold producer these days :-) => OMG again! ~ uptrends are soooooooo delightful 
  • rio tinto (base metals - new, crazy dividend 9.87% (or just 6.31% because of an error on my broker's website yesterday?). nevertheless, i'm starting to love market corrections as they allow me to buy highly valuable companies soooo cheap!)
12/17/2008
  • acadian mining (Zn, Pb, Au)
  • impact silver (Ag)
  • linde (chemistry, machinery - new, munich!)
  • rio tinto (base metals)
  • source exploration (Ag - new, probably about 50% cheaper than the original 'management' price of it's founder and former sabina silver director abraham drost [~ CAD 0.12 ?]. sounds good? in today's crazy markets it still can become better: let's look @ company's website => the current market capitalization CAD 2.3 million is BELLOW the WORKING CAPITAL of 2.4 millions. will u buy all shares & then plunder its cash desk? any additional comments on current financial markets needed? no?
12/29/2008
  • acadian mining (Zn, Pb, Au)
  • petaquilla minerals (Au)
  • xstrata (commodities - new)
12/30/2008
  • cbh resources (Ag + base metals Zn, Pb, Cu)
  • crescent gold (Au in Au-stralia :)
01/02/2009
  • aquila res (Zn)
  • bhp billiton (base metals - new)
  • Burcon NutraScience (proteins, biotech - new)
  • coral gold (Au)
  • vg gold (Au)
01/05/2009
  • novagold (Au - the company is hopefully rescued as they've found an investor who invested $60 millions last week. that's great but they've diluted the existing shares by 30% today and through warrants agreement (if exercised) even to approx. 45% in the future => the poor 'old' shareholders! folks, a day or two later were also all warrants executed, thus got novagold 75 millions combined. let's hope the management will avoid any new financial mistakes and protect the new liquidity + meet all company's requirements, so that there will be never, never again a plunge of the share price by 40-50% as it was the case at least 3 times in the last 2 years)
  • scorpio mining (Pb, Zn, Ag, Au)
01/06/2009
  • southern silver (Ag)
01/07/2009
  • mag silver (Ag)
  • uc resources (Ag)
01/08/2009
  • continuum res. (Ag)
  • greenshift corp. (clean technologies 4 efficient use of natural resources)
  • sterling mining (Ag - since 1903, i bet they will survive the financial crisis & the share price will recover from its current bankruptcy-related level :o)
01/16/2009
  • u.s. silver (Ag)
01/19/2009
  • novagold (Au)
  • u.s. gold (Au)
01/20/2009
  • tara gold (Au)
==> game over ;o(( => all available money invested, even parts of my assets of last resort! i think my wife would kill me if i would take some more money :o)). does my invest-all-available-funds-strategy make any sense? i believe yes, it does. why? with the beginning of 2009 are in germany all financial gains tax related (tax flat rate 25%) => let's buy stocks in 2008 at these low, low, low prices + avoid that tax forever :o))
=> €12,824 = 10,651 new €uros + €2,173 from sale of my silver ETFs (~300 oz) invested
=> why did i sell my silver? a) i'm not sure the ETFs have enough physical silver for all its investors actually + b) i still have few coins c) in a worst case scenario like e.g. monetary reform would the governments probably abolish the private ownership of gold & silver again, so i would never get my precious metals out of any ETF vault when i needed them mostly + d) i'm sure that gold/silver stocks are currently massive undervalued so let's bet on their return to fair values => btw, i expect that the share prices of most of my recently purchased junior explorer companies will increase minimum 5- to 7-fold in the next 1-2 years and the big players like newmont + pan american silver + hecla will at least double in that period => if you looked at their charts and especially at the loss of 70% of their value in october/november [mostly without any rational reason] u will probably understand why i'm sooo bullish on them now :o)).
why sooo many sooo small positions? explorer stocks are risky enough (just look @ chart of any of them + especially @ novagold, so u will understand why i prefer to buy small packages (about 200 €uros each) in huge number of risky companies + pay €10 commission per trade than to build bigger portions of few risky companies (e.g. about €1,000 each as in 2007 or about €3,000-4,000 like in the years 2005-2006). btw, my biggest original purchase were 2,300 shares of rob mcewen's u.s. gold with more than 9,000 €uros and today are the remaining 1,800 shares worth just about €1,000 :o((. well, i shouldn't put all eggs in one basket! a big position in a particular stock/commodity doesn't protect my capital from losses :o)) ==> GOOD LUCK MY LOVELY BUY-AND-HOLD-THROUGH-ALL-THIS-FINANCIAL-MESS COMMODITY POSITIONS !!!
02/05/2009
btw, how does my portfolio looks like after that shopping orgy? well, check yourself! the userID is jaro and the password is secret ;-) ... folks, i.e. 'secret' !!!
(to learn more about jaro's intergalactic financial enterprizes (JIFE++) visit http://jarogruber.de/ and jump to the JIFE++ site :-). nevertheless, a short overview:
JIFE++ investment philosophy: gold + silver + energy (oil, gas, solar, wind, ...) + junior explorer stocks + commodities + ETFs + warrants + cash + ... even if the JIFE++ fund is free to invest in any financial instrument, it is not intended to invest in bonds, treasuries, CFDs, currencies, ...
JIFE++ risk category: HIGH. why? because there are also many junior explorer companies contained which do not generate any cash-flow yet, do not pay dividends, ... please consider also the high volatility in commodity sector.
JIFE++ upside potential: HIGH. why? see investment philosophy + risk category ;-))
JIFE++ contact: jaro.gruber@gmx.de
the bravest of the brave: JIFE++ investors)

folks, do u believe in santa claus? yes? me to! here we go ;-):
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=> my x-mas wish list :o)
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folks, my wife asked her subconscious mind today (=12/14/2008) which stocks to buy! her answers are marked bellow, but don't forget that stocks of highest desire i've already bought in the last few weeks :O). that are additional favorites and/or companies where i would like to increase my stakes :-)

  • acadian mining (Zn, Pb, Au) ... maybe
  • agnico-eagle mines (Au, platinum, rhodium - new) ... no
  • barrick gold (Au - new) ... no
  • bhp billiton (base metals - new) ... yes
  • bravo venture (Au)
  • Burcon NutraScience (proteins, biotech - new) ... YES
  • coral gold (Au) .... YES
  • ETF new energy (renewable energy)
  • ETF world water (H2O)
  • first majestic silver (Ag)
  • fortuna silver (Ag)
  • franco nevada (royalty, private equity - new) ... maybe
  • goldcorp (Au - new)
  • google (software) ... yes
  • impact silver (Ag)... yes
  • linde (chemistry) ... yes
  • MAG silver
  • mexican silver mines (Ag) ... yes
  • microsoft (software - new) ... ok, but novagold should perform better
  • münchner rück (insurance - new) ... no
  • novagold ... YES
  • pan american silver (Ag)
  • petaquilla minerals (Au)
  • rio tinto (base metals) ... yes
  • sabina silver (Ag, Zn)
  • source exploration (Ag) ... yes
  • tribune fpo (Au - new)
  • u.s. gold (Au)
  • vg gold (Au)
  • XSTRATA (commodities)


do u think i believe strongly that the commodities will rally again soon and so will commodity explorers, (junior) producers and the like, don't u? well, that's my hedge against the inflation monster!

what about the stock markets? i think they will rally also because of the HUGE amounts of paper/electronic money added into financial circle through the corrupt, incompetent and dishonest governments and their small dirty central banks all over the world :o((

=> welcome to the INFLATIONARY stocks and assets price rally !
=> welcome to the crack-up boom !!
=> welcome to state controls + regulations + swindling democracy all over the freaking world !!!
=> welcome to the kondratieff winter :o((

questions of the day: how long could that false boom last? when will we see not just a default of some 'unimportant' nations (iceland, hungary, ukraine, pakistan => 4 countries in the last few weeks!), but also a bankruptcy of some important western economy (US, UK, germany, italy, spain, france...)? when will that crappy paper money system fail? when will a major monetary reform arrive on planet earth again? do u have enough gold + silver ALREADY ???

=> as always: do not forget to protect yourself and your family against all that financial mess out there => buy as much gold, silver, oil, agriculture, energy... @ these low, low, low prices as u can afford and you will be very, very glad. or don't and u won't ;o))

=> this investing stuff is sooooo easy !!!

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

barack hussein obama

addendum april 2018
just in case you don't know why did the west and its allies in the last 20+ years attack and destroy so many countries (iraq, yugoslavia, afghanistan, lybia, syria, yemen, mali, somalia, ...) which have never threatened the west, the nobel prize laureate for peace, barrack hussein obama, has the answer for you: if you can't buy it, bomb it ....
~~~
poll: is it too late for improvement of the world order? YES/NO ?
i'm not sure, i hope not, but i'm really not sure... why? well, in the last few months we saw just huuuuge bailouts + socialization of losses + government interventions and regulations + an unbelievable increase in money supply all over the world instead of free markets. is there any hope for improvement? yes! yesterday was barack hussein obama elected as the new u.s. president. [btw, who are the strong powers behind him? the kennedy-clan + george soros + zbigniew brzezinski + ??? ok, but is it good or bad for the world? the time will show it :o)]. i hope he will correct few of bush's mistakes and maybe even end the wars on iraq, afghanistan, democracy, terror, ... and reduce budget deficits ... and so on ... that could help a little! but he has to speed up a lot before the winter comes, the kondratieff winter :o((
=> GOOD LUCK, BARACK!
.

Saturday, November 1, 2008

market outlook 2009+

folks, the crashy year 2008 is over soon, here is my guess for the middle/long term market outlook :o)):

stocks: up! i think we will see an inflationary rally
folks, today = 2 months later = 12/27/2008 i'm not sooo sure if this scenario happens. why? well, despite the unbelievable huuuuge amounts of money pumped into the financial markets by governments + their small dirty central banks, the economy continues contracting itself, people stop buying unnecessary things like new cars, bigger TV-screens, new houses or even new kitchens ... well, if the companies stop making profits or even start making losses, that would probably lower the stock prices even from the current low, low, low levels! IMHO are the governments + their small dirty central banks all over the freaking world doing big, big mistakes with all their dirty bail-outs and market regulations ... i'm afraid that their stupid actions will cause a much more severe recession/depression as we would face without any interference. or do u believe that taking the money from the competent people and companies (tax payers) and giving it to incompetent people and companies (the bailouted banks, car makers etc.) in order to let them compete against the competent ones again will resolve any problems?
don't forget: if printing money were the solution to all economic malinvestments + mistakes zimbabwe were the best country on earth! but it isn't and it is probably the most poor and ruined country instead! hell, why want all this small corrupt politicians in western europe + usa try the zimbabwean way?

commodities: up! a lot! inflation and supply/demand driven

bonds: down! it could be the next bubble which pops! why? interest rates are artificially low and the bonds currently so high; the western governments are so heavily and hopeless over indebted that i do not believe they will pay their debts back one day ;o(. i would rather expect some monetary reform after a sad period of hyperinflation. do YOU see any kind of security in this so 'secure' investments? btw, i do not track bonds closely, so don't think too long about my outlook :O)

inflation: UP, UP, UP! no wonder facing all these huge bailouts in the financial sector. what do i think about the increase in money supply (keyword M3)? don't ask me that, i would have to cry! ok. so what about the price of beer @ oktoberfest or about a price of coffee in the local outdoor swimming pool in few years? don't ask me that either :o((

=> welcome to the INFLATIONARY stocks and assets price rally !
=> welcome to the crack-up boom !!
=> welcome to the kondratieff winter :o(( !!!
=> welcome to state controls + regulations + swindling democracy all over the freaking world !!!!

well, what could that mean for people like you and me? IMHO will the middle class probably dissappear :-((. but don't worry too much about that! we will not dissapear from this freaking planet really, we will just join the poor class ... it could be worse :o)

questions of the day: how long could that false boom last? when will we see not just a default of some 'unimportant' nations (iceland, hungary, ukraine, pakistan = 4 in the last few weeks!!!), but also a bankruptcy of some 'imortant' western economies (US, UK, germany, italy, spain, france, ...)? when will all that fiat paper money fail? when will a major monetary reform arrive on planet earth again? do u have enough gold + silver ALREADY?

how could you protect yourself and your family against all that financial mess out there and prepare somehow for that (not really nice) scenario? it is still the same: buy [@ these low, low, low prices!] as much gold, silver, commodities like oil + agriculture, energy + 'green' energy as u can afford and you will be very, very glad. or don't and u won't ;o))

=> this investing stuff is sooooo easy !!!

Friday, October 3, 2008

2008 (+ 2009 + ?) financial crisis explained in plain english ... OR my observations from today's TRADING ORGY :-)

folks, it's unbelievable, i do know all the reasons why this crazy 2008 financial crisis (not just 'subprime') happened! it is not just because of the no#1 reason and a necessary precondition of this mess which is greenspan's and bernanke's printing press which had printed soooooo many dollars [money supply M3] out of thin air for sooooo long :o))

today was a holiday in germany and thus i could sit in front of moving price charts the whole day and trade. we could also say gamble ... well, the rational part of my soul told me not to trade as there is not enough capital on my account and a smallest price decrease in my current positions would mean a margin call and a deadly end of my account. but the small devil living inside my crazy, greedy, dishonest, corrupt, stupid, incompetent, addicted and forever lost soul told me: "trade jaro, trade! you will definitely win few bucks and move your account into a more stable area". so i did!

my capital in the early morning: 356 €uros
my today's low: 282 euros
my today's high: 440 euros
my object of lustfulness today: dow jones index (DJIA)
my number of trades: 12
my trading result: 2.17 euros ... thank goodness! it could also be a loss of few hundred €uros instead :-)
last but not least, amount of money (or just 'liquidity' ?) moved on the market: 12 x 10,600 = 127,200.00 usd ... folks, please do NOT think about the 'stability' of nowadays financial system! it is crazy! consider that i had just 300 €uros of 'securities' in place :o((. do NOT think about things they WILL happen if the greedy banks would act like me - i'm sure they already do!

damned hell! did you think about OVERLEVERAGE? or about all these lehmans, merills, bears, AIGs, freddies, fannies + their small dirty european buddies northern rock, ubs, fortis, ikb, hypo real, bayern lb? jaro, you must be kidding! how can we remember all these funny names? pls repeat them slowly again, thx! ok fellows, here we go: AIG, Bayern LB, Bear Stearns, Dexia, Dresdner Bank, Fannie Mae, Fortis, Freddie Mac, HBOS, HSH Nordbank, Hypo Real Estate, HypoVereinsbank, IKB, Indymac, KfW, LBBW, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, RBS, Morgan Stanley, Northern Rock, Sachsen LB, Société Génerale, Wachovia, Washington Mutual, WestLB (as of 10/05/2008. thx 2 http://gburek.eu/)! pls note that banks [citibank, deutsche bank, ubs (they've written off about 40 billion euros!), commerzbank, ...] which have had just some 'small' difficulties in the past are NOT listed above! well, they've got what they deserve! by taking soooo much risks and having so few securities! what about the remaining crazy, greedy, dishonest, corrupt, stupid, incompetent + LYING BANKS out there? pls don't ask me to comment on crazy, greedy, dishonest, corrupt, stupid, incompetent + LYING GOVERNMENTS, ok?


the question of the day: what is the difference between me and these crazy, greedy, dishonest, corrupt, stupid, incompetent, lying + guilty overleveraged banks? it's so easy! i do risk just my own money and i take the responsibility for my behaviour in good and in bad times. folks, there is not 1 taxpayer's penny being lost through my trades, no bailout by u.s. treasury happened, no fresh dollars from bernanke's helicopter arrived ('helicopter ben'), ....


folks, please, please, please, do NOT hope for a perfect world! protect yourself instead !!! pls note the use of 3 (=three) exclamation marks, it should show u that the issue is somehow important! [the audience:] thx, but how could we protect ourselves + our families? just ask and answer 1 simple question to yourself (and act accordingly to your personal situation after that): DO I HAVE ENOUGH GOLD + SILVER ALREADY?


btw, are HUGE bailouts solution for financial crises? or what is the solution to solve this particular crisis? it's also easy! let the greedy banks take the responsibility for their own behaviour, let them go bankrupt if they deserve it, but do not allow to pay all taxpayers for failure of few! do not allow to give the money of competent people (profitable businesses + individuals) into the hands of incompetent people (zombie banks) as it would invers the real benefits of our (competitive) capitalist system! do not produce inflation by printing additional dollars out of thin air as you would probably not add oil to a fire in order to extinguish it. wow, thx ... + what should be done concretely?

A.) first of all we would need sound financial + economical policies which would allow entrepreneurship, competition, bankruptcies, failure, start-up companies + free markets instead of government controls, prohibition (e.g. shortselling, price controls etc.), bailouts, printing press, inflation, market & industry manipulation, ....

B.) then we would need to build wealth based on work and savings (instead of borrowing and spending) like in the good old days + like the austrian school of economics (von mises, hayek, menger, ...) tells us: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austrian_Business_Cycle_Theory

C.) yes, i do believe that a gold standard would help a lot to achieve this kind of wealth and prosperity. in my opinion would a gold standard also avoid such stupid and senseless 'investments' like the u.s. wars on iraq, iran, afghanistan, kosovo, vietnam, venezuela, cuba, terror, democracy inside western democracies, free markets, u.s. + european taxpayer, freedom, ???, ... IMHO would even the world become a better place. why? there would simply be no money for this kind of wars & malinvestments. that does not mean that there would be no wars at all as there have been many wars + a lot of destruction also in ancient time under a gold standard, but a war was usually over when the kings had no gold/silver to pay their soldiers :-)


poll: is it already too late for all these measures? YES / NO ??? i'm not sure, i hope not, but i'm realy not sure, i'm so pesimistic about that :-((.
why? well, we see just bailouts + socialisation of losses + government interventions & regulations + an unbelievable increase in money supply all over the world instead of free markets. is there any hope for improvement? yes, in november will the new u.s. president [11/04/2008: barack hussein obama => who are the strong powers behind him? the kennedy-clan + george soros + zbigniew brzezinski + ??? is it good or bad for the world? the time will show it :o)] most likely correct few of bush's mistakes and maybe even end the wars on iraq, afghanistan, terror ... and reduce budget deficits ... and so on ... that could help a little! but he has to speed up a lot before the winter comes, the kondratieff winter :o((


(enhanced about a week later just for the case you've thought this crisis cannot become worse. it could and it also did: /2008/10/how-bad-is-current-financial-mess.html)

december, 1st ... the crisis is far from over! watch + listen to meridith whitney (oppenheimer & co.):


btw, what is the song of the crash(y) year 2008? hmmmm :o) ... and the winner is ... is ... is the dream team ... bush & bernanke!


yep, here are my trades:

item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #1
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 13:32
entry price-------: 10,550
initial stop-loss--: 10,530
new stop-loss----: 10,566
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 13:41
exit price---------: 10,566
profit (loss) in %-: 0.15%
profit (loss)-------: $ 16
reason why + strategy: trying to trade the HUGE moves in DJIA which i've expected because of the planned voting of u.s. congress on the HUUUUGE bailout ($700 billion) of financial institutions
lessons learned: nice trade; clever and FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit as the DJIA moved so fast in one direction; nice stop-loss-limit later on to secure the profit => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #2
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 13:34
entry price-------: 10,575
initial stop-loss--: 10.560
new stop-loss----: 10,571
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 13:41
exit price---------: 10,571
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: ($ 4)
reason why + strategy: trying to trade the HUGE moves in DJIA which i've expected because of the planned voting of u.s. congress on the HUUUUGE bailout ($700 billion) of financial institutions
lessons learned: nice trade; clever and FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit; the price move was not big enough to move my stop-loss-limit higher => OK


... to do ... document the next 10 trades ... oh, my god! i can't start my trading platform just now (=saturday, 10/04/2008) to look-up the trading data! there is no customer hotline @cmc-markets today! there is no one who could initialize my 'entry code' to start the log-in process with the server defaults! ... f*cking hell :o)) . well, i've installed the software again, so i can continue writing now :-)


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #3
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 13:43
entry price-------: 10,581
initial stop-loss--:
new stop-loss----: 10,582
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 13:55
exit price---------: 10,582
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: $ 1 (WHAT a GAIN! i'm so happy :o)
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some HUGE moves ...
lessons learned: nice trade; FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit; nice stop-loss-limit later on to secure the profit; the DJIA didn't want to move muuuuch higher this time => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #4
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 13:53
entry price-------: 10,599
initial stop-loss--: 10,582
new stop-loss----:
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 13:55
exit price---------: 10,582
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: ($ 17)
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some HUGE moves ...
lessons learned: a small mistake; i had already 1 long position; i thought that after break-out through the 10,600 level there will be a huuuuge move up; it was a false break this time; i was not FAST enough to place new stop levels for my two positions [remember: there is a minimum spread to current price needed (about 10 points?) and in a fast moving market is it not easy to place an appropriate stop limit ... => idea of the day: i will try not to put a stop-limit immediately in my trading platform but just watch the quotes and sell 'market' when my emotional / theoretical stop-loss-level (about 20 points?) will be reached ... i have to think about that 'strategy' a little bit longer and maybe try it in the market clutter. and i still can place a stop-order in my trading platform when the price moves to a comfortable area to secure my fictitious profits] => let's think about this emotional stop-loss-strategy @entry some time longer :-)


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #5
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 13:58
entry price-------: 10,578
initial stop-loss--: 10,560
new stop-loss----:
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 14:00
exit price---------: 10,560
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: ($ 18)
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some HUGE moves ...
lessons learned: nice trade; FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit; the DJIA didn't want to move muuuuch higher this time => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #6
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 14:05
entry price-------: 10,567
initial stop-loss--: 10,550
new stop-loss----:
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 14:08
exit price---------: 10,550
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: ($ 17)
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some HUGE moves ...
lessons learned: nice trade; FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit; the DJIA didn't want to move muuuuch higher this time => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #7
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 14:13
entry price-------: 10,578
initial stop-loss--:
new stop-loss----: 10,606
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 14:59
exit price---------: 10,606
profit (loss) in %-: 0.26%
profit (loss)-------: $ 28
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some HUGE moves ...
lessons learned: nice trade; FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit; nice stop-loss-limit later on to secure the profit; this was a WAR BETWEEN BEARS AND BULLS which lasted about 1 hour; the DJIA moved few points higher and tried to break-out to a new (higher) level; but fell back just to stop out my position; than moved higher again (in short term trading plays luck also a important part :o) => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #8
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 14:59
entry price-------: 10,623
initial stop-loss--: 10,610
new stop-loss----:
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 15:01
exit price---------: 10,610
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: ($ 13)
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some HUGE moves ...
lessons learned: nice trade; FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit; the DJIA didn't want to move muuuuch higher this time => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #9
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 15:02
entry price-------: 10,624
initial stop-loss--: 10,591
new stop-loss----:
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 15:06
exit price---------: 10,591
profit (loss) in %-: (0.31%)
profit (loss)-------: ($ 33)
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some HUGE moves ...
lessons learned: a small mistake; i couldn't place an initial stop-loss-limit FAST enough as the DJIA moved so fast; loss too high ...


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #10
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (sell) / stop (buy)
trade type--------: short
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 15:12
entry price-------: 10,573
initial stop-loss--: 10,591
new stop-loss----:
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 15:13
exit price---------: 10,591
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: ($ 14)
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some HUGE moves ...
lessons learned: nice trade; FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit; the DJIA didn't want to move muuuuch LOWER this time => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #11
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 15:14
entry price-------: 10,615
initial stop-loss--: 10,591
new stop-loss----: 10,616 => 10,682 => 10,707
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 16:19
exit price---------: 10,707
profit (loss) in %-: 0.87%
profit (loss)-------: $ 92
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some HUGE moves ...
lessons learned: this was a dream! this was this kind of trades i'm looking for! clever and FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit; nice stop-loss-limit later on to secure the fictitious profit - note that the limit was far enough from the 'psychological' barrier 10,600; a nice coffee + dinner break during the trade (my stop order was in the market); and last but not least: the LUCK to pinch a really big move in price => yabbadabbadooo!


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #12
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / stop (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/03/2008, 16:36
entry price-------: 10,721
initial stop-loss--: 10,707
new stop-loss----:
exit date---------: 10/03/2008, 16:41
exit price---------: 10,707
profit (loss) in %-: 0.15%
profit (loss)-------: $ 16
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some HUGE moves ...
lessons learned: nice trade; FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit; the DJIA didn't want to move muuuuch higher this time. after so many trades i was really tired (it was already late afternoon in germany) and then i decided not to trade any longer and went to gym. furthermore i didn't expect any big (= tradable) price move anymore. (the price reached 10,801 later on :). folks, i couldn't believe my eyes when i came back from gym! DJIA @10,325 points? => long live the stop-loss-limit-strategy ;-))

resume:
few bucks for me; some more for my broker (12 x 4 usd spread = 48 usd); some liquidity for the markets; and a great experience ...
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folks, a small bonus for my german-language readers => a funny explanation-video about the financial mess out there through beer bar analogy ;o)

leute, bankwesen für anfänger + topmanager zugleich! ein echt lustiges aufklärungsvideo :o)