Saturday, September 26, 2009

#jarobuys cobalt + gold (formation metals + petaquilla minerals)

folks, folks, folks .... i'm such a crazy, stock exchange & shopping addicted alien!

well, i've been yesterday @ a resource conference in the best hotel bayerischer hof in munich, where 5 explorer companies + 1 trading company + the local stock exchange presented their stories to investors + general public + ... few of the companies and many of the guests have there been last year also and i could remember few of them ... i think it's nice to see some of the 'old' faces again, isn't it?

do u think there was much volume in their stocks today morning on the german stock exchanges? not reallly, few of them didn't trade at all! well, the earthlings are much more interested in free lunch (oooops, that was dinner time) + free beer + free coffee than to do some thinking for themselves ... not me! well, i just thought if that canadian companies have soooooo much money they could afford 2 invite the folks to the best place in town, they will prolly have some potential to upgrade their business anyway :). pls DO NOT TELL ME that the only reason they have 2 advertise like that is 'cos their projects are so sh*ty and they need sooooooooo much money 2 bring them into production and so on and on and on and on ...

i didn't know 2 of these 5 companies and i liked the story of the near-term cobalt producer formation capital corp. ... in winter 2009 renamed to formation metals (mines & major properties located in idaho / usa). well, even if i have invested last big portion of my idle money in july and early august as i've waited 4 the gold rally 2 come in august and was not at all dissapointed when it came in september instead, so i've opened just a small initial position in formation capital today. let's watch the company developments and maybe there will be a point in the future where i will have both, money 2 invest and faith in their operations 2 increase my stake . you know what? 3 of my portfolio companies sterling, sns, minco still fight in various legal issues on the sunshine silver mine / idaho. watch out, formation posses the Sunshine Precious Metals Refinery. crazy, isn't it?

what's the price of cobalt? i've no clue about that as there are mainly long term contracts between producers & consumers out there, BUT NEXT SPRING should cobalt become traded @ LME !!! it should bring much more public attention to that $6 billion market, isn't it?

what is cobalt used for? if i remember that correctly, it's for batteries, batteries and batteries, i think . hell, that formation guy was right! he told that todays so famous lithium-ion batteries contain more cobalt (approx. 60%) than anything else! wikipedia also confirms that from investment perspective so important fact "... Lithium cobalt oxide (LiCoO2) is widely used in Lithium ion battery electrodes.[23] Nickel-cadmium (NiCd) and nickel metal hydride (NiMH) batteries also contain significant amounts of cobalt. ... " still wanna know more about cobalt? ok, pls move 2 wikipedia 2 learn.

what about gold? few days ago i've also increased my stake in panama's emerging gold producer petaquilla minerals (see comment #6), which is one of very few companies in my portfolio they didn't decrease sharply as the gold price corrected a little this week, which draw down my struggling portfolio from its recently reached break-even-point by approx. -5%

hmmmm, i just thought if i'm really such an easy to impact dreamer or the like, so i just checked my results achieved with stocks of this kind of tip / information. folks, it is really unbelievable, but for some strange reason or an other that companies belong 2 my best performers! well, they didn't go up straight away after i've bought them and they've also been hit sooooo hard in that damned crashy october 2008 (pls, pls, pls, never come back!), but i've watched their developments and in few of them even increased my stakes between december 2008 and february 2009 aaaaaand => HERE WE GO:
  • western potash +99,29%
  • commerce resources +206,07% ... ohhh, in yesterday's so weak stock market additional +11,67%. damn, what's going up out there :o)
  • zimtu capital +161,94%
  • western geopower +43,88%
  • megastar development +41,67%
  • adamus res. +45,12%
  • dundee precious metals +57,39%
  • formation capital -5,13%
  • burcon nutrascience +5,15%
yep, i see, i should just buy companies @ presentations, isn't it?
in case u ask yourself why do i buy mostly small unknown companies and not the soooo successful blue chips, here is the answer: i've worked for siemens + bmw for sooooo many years and i've recognized there is 1 thing huge companies have in common: they waste soooo much of owners' (shareholders') money in such a stupid way that i think there is no need to give them my money on top. chakkkka!
addendum, november 18, 2009:
big, big, big fraud @ petaquilla minerals !!!
folks, now i know why this sh*ty GOLD PRODUCER stock fell the last few months like a stone from heaven even facing these so enjoyable record gold prices ...
the company news were positive, i asked even their PR team if the management is fire selling the stock 'caus there was no reason visible from outside the company and got just the message that some director will respond soon, what he of course never did ...
you know what? today came the news that the company GOT THE NEEDED APPROVAL by some panama's (panamanean?) authority 2 operate the gold mine .... hell, that means the directors knew it doesn't look nice for the company, dropped the stock ... the price lost approx 50% in few days ... thx goodness and sooooooo fine 4 my portfolio 2day becomed the opposite option true and the mine approval is here. the stock is +91.11% now ... and +111.11% as i've finished that blog post ... and 2day's high was +126.67% ... and the closing quote is +117.78%(!!!).
well, my recently bought position is slightly positive again, the managers are buying their stock back like crazy (just my guess, they didn't tell me anything as i wrote above, but you know, just look @ the recent volume and compare it to the average ... )
anyway, I DO NOT LIKE PETAQUILLA ANYMORE :-(
ps: the symbol is PTQ (@ TSX in toronto)
addendum, november 20, 2009
folks, i've got a call from petaquilla's PR guy luigi 2day ... what do u think was the message? of course, petaquilla lives in the best of all worlds ... now, where the mine permit is there + production rising + cash-flow flowing + plans 4 the future developing ...
what abt my question concerning the huge sell-off even if the gold reached one all-time-high after the next? .... hmmmm, you know ... there was no information to the shareholders for a long period of time (wanna move 2 company's homepage & check it?) .... you know ... one leaving manager was selling his stock (was he really? whould u sell a stock when the company has just started earning money? me not! even if i was an exploration expert moving 2 next opportunity i would hold all my shares + enjoy the ongoing gold production + cash-flow + dividends etc. )
well, the tape will tell us the truth soon!
on the other side, it was a very pleasant discusion and hopefully will that petaquilla-speculation work out well 4 me btw, in the past i've got already optimistic + very positive emails from CEOs and/or public relations folks from companies which went bankrupt just weeks later (web2corp) or have fallen 2 abt zero like bernanke's short term interest rates (greenshift, current quote is $0.0008 ... it is not a typo!)
addendum, november 30, 2009:
folks, luigi was right, right, right! petaquilla is +18.37% today, my latest purchase (approx 2 months ago) is +58,39% already and my overall investment needs just a small increase of approx 9% to reach the break-even point (=> tomorrow?). well the bad feeling abt the recent strange developments (see above) will stay much longer :-(
some other commodity highlights from my portfolio 2day?
  • Aquila Resources +54.17%
  • Genco Resources +21.65%
  • Magma Energy +11.11%
  • Rochester Resources -11.36%
  • Source Exploration +15.91%
  • Sterling Mining -10.00%
let's read the company news, if any, from aquila + genco + sterling, maybe there is some major change in company fundamentals :o)
explorer stocks are soooo risky and sometimes sooooo exciting! there is no need for options/warrants/etc. LOL
... 5 minutes later ... aquila? drill results! ... Aquila Resources and HudBay Minerals Back Forty Drilling Intersects 20.2 Meters of 11.5 Grams Per Tonne Gold and 119.7 Grams Per Tonne Silver8:31 AM ET, November 30, 2009...
folks, just 2 let you know how crashy the stupid october 2008 crash in the explorer business really was, i'm gonna tell u how is my overall aquila position performing till now: hell, even if i've more than doubled my initial number of shares in january 2009 near the all-time-low quote, i'm still -52,10% down, down, down .... hmmmm, do you think, they will release some next drill results like e.g. (just my guess) 40.4 Meters of 23 Grams Per Tonne Gold sooooooooon? will they?
go, commodities, go!

addendum, december 2, 2009
folks, i'm not going 2 bore u every day with the latest petaquilla quote (promised!), but you know what?
yesterday was my break-even-point for the complete petaquilla investment, 2day is petaquilla +33.33%. crazy, isn't it? just think abt bondholders! they often need years 2 reach a 30% profit and then they have 2 pay taxes on that gain ... hell, that's boring! well, the volume was 5 times higher than the average, of course was there no company news release or anything else what would fundamentally legitimate that increase ... but who cares if the things are working fine?
well, now u know why i do not trade these kind of stocks or evaluate their charts or set stop limits :=). explorer stocks are like lottery, you never know how high/deep they will go if folks becomes fearful/greedy! btw, u still remember vg gold's +127% move up on a day when rob mcewen announced his investment in it? btw, the stock is much higher now ...
heaven, this investment stuff is soooooo easy!

6 comments:

YeOldGoldNugget said...

hi there Jaro,

Say, since I have quite a bit of German visitors you just wouldn't happen to be one of them ;-)

Anyway, acadian mining got some extra cash today.
Chart wise this thing looks like either going quite a bit further upwards or first a little drop back to the 0.09 before heading back up.

Whichever of the two, this thing is looking like its gonna get some real legs soon. Well, soon, couple months and we ought to look at 0.16 and up.

What do you think?

bye

jaro gruber said...

acadian? i've still an open market order in germany at about +10% above the canadian market (~ CAD 0.95), but there is no one willing to sell me 3,000 shares at that price. today there was again no volume in germany ...
well, i could also order in canada @ market price, but for such a small transaction are the canadian commissions to high so i prefer 2 place the order on german stock exchanges and wait :o)

well, if acadian runs away and i will not be able 2 increase my position it is still fine with me as i have already 70,000 shares and i put much more money into stocks as i should, anyway :-)

jaro gruber said...

after 1 or 2 weeks got my limit order for acadian mining @ german stock exchange finally filled! i didn't expect it anymore, because i offered all the time 10% more than the 'regular' canadian price, but the was no volume in germany at all, anyway. well, its a well known problem for all micro cap investors, isn't it?

why not to order in canada (toronto's TSX or TSX-V) directly? well, i could afford to invest just about additional 200 €uros and for such a small order does the disadvantage of high canadian commissions overweight the regular purchase price by far :-)

jaro gruber said...

bad luck this time ...
well, formation capital did nothing since i've bought their shares, so what about my finally producing gold mine and former explorer petaquilla? don't ask that ... even if the gold price reached all-time-high last week their share price fell to multi-years-lows :-((

hell, did i understand their latest news about financing & debt reduction through 'senior secured notes' of its own management somehow wrong or not at all?

hmmmm, that mistake hurts a lot even if the most other gold/silver stocks in my portfolio increased analog their peer groups HUI, XAU significantly and thus my portfolio is not far away from its in september reached all-time-high

btw, i have few contracts of orange juice in my trading account ... aaaaand orange juice advanced more than 10% on friday! damn, why do i also have natural gas? its fall reduced my orange juice profits by 50%

folks, good luck with your own trading / investing ...
jaro.

ps: did u drink some orange juice already today?

jaro gruber said...

addendum abt the big, big, big fraud @ petaquilla minerals !!!

btw, orko as pennystock is history, CAD 1.10 :-)

jaro gruber said...

added some additional information 2 the original blog post, pls see addendum, november 20, 2009