Showing posts with label alexco. Show all posts
Showing posts with label alexco. Show all posts

Monday, November 5, 2012

investor lunch with golden predator (TSX:GPD)


the golden predator guys + girls presented their company in munich today and yes, i liked it :-)
unlike the last few presentations, i'm going to post my insights on the company this time:
  • yukon's upcoming gold producer as the brewery creek mine is going to start production in 2014. what if not? well, then they still could brew beer and sell it to other miners in the area, couldn't they? lol
  • portfolio of gold royalties in nevada which generates approximately $ 1m a year and could / should generate more as the underlying mines start and/or ramp up their production. the whole royalty business could become a future spin-off as a independent compan, who knows?
  • quite well financed up to the start of own gold production, no need to raise capital at present so depressed stock price level
  • some other assets out there as well, like an old mill in nevada, share packages in 2 or 3 other companies, few early stage gold projects besides brewery creek etc. and so fort
  • what else? hmmm, there was that positive guts feeling issue, you see? i liked many things the CEO william sheriff said: generating cash is the most important issue (many explorer companies still try to increase their reserves / resources even if since 2008 mr. market doesn't value it at all), he prefers to under promise & over deliver, he wants to run the company as a business (profitable!), moved the headquarters from hyper expensive vancouver / canada to silver valley in idaho / usa ... unfortunately, i'm both too lazy + too stupid to check out how many shares he has bought in the last few years and at which price, but i think on average he has paid more than me today (damn, is anyone who's less lazy + less stupid than me going to send me a link to the corresponding insiders' trading reports?)
  • cheap like an unwanted pet, the current price is close to the lowest levels in the last 5 years. will they go bankrupt when the current mining markets continues their ugly downturn? hell, i do not think so, they are already fairly close to (profitable) production and there are still the royalties. the gold price is not going to fall below &1,000 per ounce, is it?
  • what to do? as for me, the same procedure as so often: i've bought few shares today, subscribed for company's newsletter and thus i'm going to follow their development
bill sheriff mentioned also few companies which are somehow connected to golden predator or its directors via some equity investments the one way or the other:
  • my struggling silver producer alexco resources and golden predators neighbor in the yukon territories in canada
  • silver predator (TSX:SPD)
  • wolfpack gold (private company as for now)
  • redtail metals (TSX.V:RTZ) ~ very early stage precious + base metals explorer in the yukon with very low trading volume right now. it is a company i will look closer at and probably buy few shares if i will find some money and not forget to do so ... well, let's link the predator group's website for fast access here
good luck, my lovely golden predator fighters, good luck :-)

addendum november 8th: i've just bought few shares of redtail metals. too expensive as often because i don't want to wait for a cheap(er) price, but compared to the price level we have had months ago still very cheap (CAD 0.13 per share. 28% more expensive than 1 day ago). there is not much volume out there and especially not many sellers, so it is a long term play and i have to hope the management makes the company a succcess and this will creates some market for the share trading as well :-)

so what about my investments in november? well, i'm trying to tell the temporary mining market bottom and to be fully invested for the upcoming rally, thus i've used my margin up to the tilt, you know? good luck my lovely commodity plays, good luck :-)
go gold bugs go and let's crash this fraudulent fiat money system now :o)

addendum november 27th: i've just bought few more shares of redtail metals + golden predator. redtail at CAD 0.095 and predator at CAD 0.30 per share at market opening. hell, the overwhelming fear in the mining stocks market makes every new purchase cheap. anyway, after more than 1 and half years of correction (the peak was the gold @ $1,900 and silver at $50 per ounce event in may 2011 i think) the mining stocks should / could / would finally go up, wouldn't you say?

Thursday, November 10, 2011

alexco resource


an interesting update on alexco's properties + production + prospects by its major shareholder & CEO clynton nauman in munich 2day :-)

well, there is everything fine @ alexco:
  • rising silver production
  • no debt
  • profits high enough 2 finance the planned growth without any dilution
  • 2011 was be the 1st profitable year
  • the environmental division is also develops fine and gives the company advantages which the competition hasnt
  • theyve gold too
  • as ive told ya already, the CEO is the major shareholder, so he will prolly think like an owner and not like a manager (= greedy salary + bonus + size driven, senseless overpriced M&A seeking megalomaniac). that should benefit the shareholders a lot => dividends coming soon?
  • any other investors? yep, there were few names, but i only could remember eric sprottmaybe cos ive met him on friday last week ...
  • etc
nothing wrong out there? well, ive increased my alexco position on monday @ CAD 8.09 ... and yes, the stock closed @ CAD 7.29 today, which means i would get 10% more shares for the same money 2day ;-(. well, the equity markets are completely irrational and our dear homo sapiens financialis is currently sooooo fearful that he e.g. sold one of the biggest silver producers in the world, silver standard resources (SSO) 22% cheaper than yesterday only cos theyve published some lower resource estimation than before ... and a profit of $0.27 per share versus a loss a year ago ... and a cash balance of $356 million etc and so on ... well, ive increased my SSO position yesterday and thus such a dramatic price decline on day two hurts like hell, but when ive read the 'reasons' and recognized that SSO hardly will go bankrupt on this issue => i just thought WTF, WTF, WTF => too funny, isnt it? i just laughed and laughed and laughed abt the stupidity of investors / traders and yes, ive doubled my yesterdays SSO position, so i have double the size of stock which is currently 10% down => lets lean back + appreciate the pull back in a week or two or three? folks, whats your guess:  whos right this time, mr. market or me?

btw, my initial investment idea was born here ;-)

Saturday, May 7, 2011

from explorer 2 producer

company logo

good-bye my dear silver explorer ... welcome my dear silver producer 

current company news:

May 03, 2011
Alexco Releases Initial Production Results for Bellekeno Mine; On Track for 2011 Silver Production of 2.8 Million Ounces
May 3, 2011 -- Alexco Resource Corp. (TSX:AXR, NYSE AMEX:AXU) today reported the first full quarter production results from its newly commissioned Bellekeno mine and mill in the Keno Hill Silver District, Yukon.

First Quarter Highlights
Silver Production of 447,524 ounces
Lead Production of 3,682,304 pounds
Zinc Production of 1,334,144 pounds
...


btw, despite the recent sharp, sharp, sharp correction in the whole mining sector, my initial investment is +66.54% in €uro terms ... not bad in 8 months, anyway 

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

changed my mind ...

hell! hell! hell! ive decided 2 change my plans .... well, ive planned to use 5k of my lovely trading profits for some special short term opportunities, u know? the last 3 or 4 'opportunities' a buddy of mine told me were companies without any substance (IMHO) and the only reason the most of them really advanced was a corresponding pushing via diverse newsletters, email lists etc (MHO again). ive bought 2 of them ... one is a complete loss and the 2nd went slowly up and would make up the first loss but i sold immediately at a very low profit after i understood the 'story' ... lets learn from this mistakes and lets stick 2 informed trades/investments in the future ;-)
of course i need a dollar and wanna make money in the markets ... but not that way, u know? so what 2 do?

2nd #jarobuys promissing natural resource companies with old 'freed' funds and some new trading profits:
  • osisko mining - gold
  • bravo gold - gold
  • q-cells - solar energy
  • cardero resources - iron ore
  • ECU silver - silver
  • altona mining - copper
  • innophos holdings - phosphates
  • alexco resource - silver
  • scorpio mining - zinc, lead, silver
  • scorpio gold - gold - scorpio mining's small brother :-)
  • agrium inc - phosphates
  • mosaic co - phosphorus mines!
  • mirasol resources - gold
  • everton resources - gold
  • golden valley mines - gold
  • buchans minerals - zinc, lead
  • megastar development - gold
  • coral gold - gold
  • portal resources - gold, oil
  • belvedere resources - nickel
  • tiger resources - copper
  • rocmec mining - gold
  • halo resources - gold
  • donner metals - zinc, copper
  • NWM mining - gold
  • tara gold - gold
  • united mining group - silver in silver valley
  • alderon resources - iron ore in labrador/canada
  • encanto potash - potash
  • amerigo resources - copper, molybdenum in chile
  • ...
good luck my honest fighters, good luck :-)

Saturday, October 30, 2010

alexco resource? SILVER!

next investor lunch event, the #337 i think ... just kidding, of course :)

well, i like these events ... i like 2 talk 2 company representatives, to meet few old faces i know already 4 years and there is always s.th. to learn abt the stocks, commodities, industry insights, markets, metals & more

and its profitable as well! just imagine, its just 2 weeks ago when ive really noticed alexco for the 1st time as it was mentioned by euroscandic's daniel at the encanto potash presentation. ive bought few shares at that time and the stock quotes 27% higher 2day!!! well, i liked what ive heard from both the CEO and largest alexcos shareholder clynton nauman, so ive prompt decided 2 buy few more shares ... by some fortunate coincidence i came 2 my wife's notebook when the price was CAD 6.12 and thus before the major portion of 2days +5.67% increase ... last quote? CAD 6.34

any special issues?
  • yukon / canada
  • historic production of many millions ounces of silver in the district
  • there is also zinc, lead, indium out there ... how much? well, if they hedged their Zn/Pb production at current prices they would get all that shiny silver for free + make a huuuge profit + could unload all leftover indium in my garden ;-). hell! i woudda know what 2 do with this stuff, u know?
  • high high high grades! unbelievable high grades! ive never heard abt average silver grades above 40 ounces per ton before ... prolly only the silver mountain in potosi / bolivia had such grades hundreds years ago :)
  • even the historical tailings have higher silver grades than most silver producers encounter currently (sorry, forgot the precise number, not going 2 search that at alexcos website cos it smells like work, u see?)
  • an own environmental division which already generates some cash flow and is prolly going to clean up the whole mining district after all mining is done few years from now
  • a strong partnership with silver wheaton which funded CAD 50m in order 2 build up the 1st mine in exchange of some part of silver produced. got it? SLW guys DO NOT invest in shity properties or shity companies, so its going 2 be a great success here, i believe ;-)
  • well financed
  • relatively low number of shares outstanding and no additional dilution planned (u still remember that the CEO is also a major shareholder, dont u?)
  • any risks? of course, mining is risky! ive told u that already, didnt i? what abt much lower metal prices, bad luck, some technical problems within the mine and/or mill, the current quite high stock price level, no luck at all in order 2 increase their low proven/inferred/indicated mineral reserves  ... or all of that? who knows?
  • anything more? yes, yes, yes! the production is going 2 start within the Q4/2010. wanna know how 'far' away is that? yes? damn! where is my calendar gone? 

any pictures out there? well, there is no current mining production @ alexco, thus lets look at the old one. how? dont worry, 2day i had both a day off and also my most creative day of the week and thought i coudda steal some pictures out of alexcos video presentation from their website => enjoy:



good luck, my lovely alexco resource, good luck 

Saturday, October 2, 2010

food + rare earths? #jarobuys potash + phosphorus = encanto + mosaic + agrium + innophos


well, there was the next investor lunch in the pretty käfer's restaurant this week. it was all abt food this time! no, just kidding, of course not only abt food alone but also abt drinks! and abt fertilisers! well, the farmers need them like the hell needs the fire => thus #jarobuys:
  • alexco res. - precious metals explorer in canada & mexico + environmental services 4 mining industry
  • alderon res. - near term iron ore producer in labrador / canada
  • encanto potash - potash explorer in saskatchewan / canada
  • s.th. else, wanna present that later cos the investor lunch series continues next wednesday ...

still following my train of thoughts? no? what? my rant does not make any sense at all? ok, lets start again :-)

well, these company presentations are run by euroscandic intnl & fortuna capital guys. this time there was a small overview abt the recent euroscandic's investments, so ive decided 2 buy alexco + alderon out of their list ... btw, ive bought encanto on monday @ CAD 0.19 ... the closing quote 2day was approx 13% higher @ CAD 0.215 ... dont ask me why i didnt buy the shares few weeks earlier  and avoided the road show impact on the stock price or why i didnt bought at about CAD 0.12 before the august/september rally in commodities started ... of course, buying early doesnt always mean buying low ...  just imagine, my next week's 'investor lunch' purchase is permanent below my entry price ;-( ... thunderstorms! im not going 2 keep that secret any longer! thats donner metals, u know? wanna look-up 'donner' in a german dictionary?

hmmmm, what abt jim walchuck's presentation? well, encanto's CEO told/shown in his matter-of-fact manner (hell, are there no joke sputtering salespeople/entertainers out there? ... just kidding ... when investing, facts are much more profitable than fairy-tales, of course i know ;o)) few interesting assumptions abt the planet's growing population, shrinking agricultural production land, bhp billiton's take-over offer for the worlds #1 potash producer potash corp. of saskatchewan ... lets see if there is still s.th. what i could remember:
  • $1 spent on fertilisers leads to $3 in higher earnings for the farmer
  • there are only 12 countries producing potash out there (canada, russia, belarus, germany, ...)
  • 35% of wold production comes from saskatchewan / canada
  • there are only 3 junior potash companies in saskatchewan left, all others where taken-over by majors or went bankrupt before the boom in commodities arrived on planet earth. btw, one of them is my 3.5-bagger western potash
  • encanto is a really-early-stage-explorer, it will need a lot of fresh money in order 2 reach production and thus is gioing dilute the existing share base further ... well, lets hope it happens at a much, much higher price than the current CAD 0.215 
  • the number of fully diluted shares is already 250,665,044 ... a little bit 2 high ... there will always be folks willing 2 sell at some higher levels which will slow down the stock performance i think ...
  • good first nations relationships (important 4 permitting of drilling / future production ... well, in case of success will these folks get a 3% royalty out of all encantos potash sales ... shudda merry chief's daughter asap?)
  • there should be enough money in order 2 finish drilling + all needed studies in order 2 present a new resource calculation till december 2010 or january 2011, which could/should attract both investors and eventual joint-venture partners 
  • ...
lets support these encanto guys, lets follow their progress a little bit closer (of course, ive subscribed 4 companys investors newsletter), lets help 2 provide some food 4 the earthlings and some $$ for myself => good luck, my lovely potash play, good luck :-)

addendum 10/16/2010: where the hell is all that phosphor/phosphate produced? 

folks, ive spoken to a buddy of mine abt food + fertilizers last week ... an ongoing PhD in agriculture ... potash + sodium + phosphor is all what the plants need (beside sun + water, of course) ... and u know what? phosphor is the stuff which is really rare ... got it? thats a huuuuge investment opportunity, u know? well, ive been googling the web for an hour or 2 and despite their +11.19% rise on friday i found almost nothing .... only one lithuanian producer listed in london without any significant volume (but already well advanced in the last few months) and one chinese company without any stock-exchange listing (at least i coudnt find such) ...
WHO KNOWS ANY phosphor/phosphate PRODUCER? 


addendum 10/25/2010: again looked for phosphor producers on the internet yesterday, couldnt find much out there => is the world really running out of phosphor? well, there was an another lithuanian producer, but unfortunately listed only in vilnius, a chinese company and not much more thus ive decided 2 buy two agriculture majors: the canadian agrium inc. guys + their american nyse buddies mosaic co. well, the former produce phosphor fertilizers, buuuut the later are the guys who bring phosphor above ground! of course, like the whole potash / rare earths sector both agrium and mosaic doubled since august therefore ive decided to make a small pilot buy and watch these companies closer in the future ... btw, ive found a great article on phosphorus @ seeking alpha => enjoy:

Taking Stock of Phosphorus and Biofuels -- Seeking Alpha



addendum, october 31st + november 1st: well, ive made some additional studies, there are few more phosphorus producers (or at least phosphorus fertilizers producers) out there:
  • innophos - listed @ nasdaq, thx 2 mentor (see comment below) for this useful information
  • United Phosphorus Limited - a huge indian company, listed only in india, cant buy shares via my existing brokerage accounts, current price is already high but not parabolic, there is strong earnings growth as well
  • many chinese / indian / russian / baltic (lithuania!) / ukrainian / arabic (morocco!) companies => its difficult 2 invest in them
  • ICL Fertilizers - israel - gonna look-up later
  • IMC phosphates - usa - gonna look-up later
  • Jordan Phosphate Mines Company Ltd. - a mining company!!!
  • luvena s.a. - poland
  • Kazphosphate LL - kazakhstan
  • K+S - germanys huuuge potash producer, already in my portfolio but a badly performer till now
  • many private or non-quoted public companies => for me impossible 2 invest in them :-(
  • legend international - phosphorus
  • mosaic company - phosphates + potash
  • south boulder - potash in eritrea (bought in february 2011)
  • allana potash - potash in ethiopia (bought in february 2011)
  • ...

btw, lets keep track abt all my phosphorus / phosphat / potash / agriculture companies => lets sum up my FOOD DIVISION:
  • nestle - switzerland - nespresso & more :-)
  • agrium - canada
  • mosaic - usa - phosphates + potash
  • legend international holdings - phosphorus
  • western potash - canada - potash explorer
  • encanto potash - canada - potash explorer
  • K+S - germany - potash producer, fertilizers
  • ADM - usa - grains
  • burcon nutrascience - canada, vegetable proteines
  • EnWave - canada - dehydration technology (food + medicals)
  • vale - brasil - phosphate mines!!!
  • bhp billiton - australia - gonna take-over potash of saskatchewan corp
  • world water ETF - dont ask me what the hell is in that basket ... no clue at all!
  • kws saat - germany - seeds
  • innophos - usa -  a specialty phosphate producer
  • allana
  • south boulder
  • ...
folks, i liked the idea of putting all members of 1 sector together! will prolly continue with gold/silver, base metals, energy, industry, 'new' technology, REE, finance, etc in some of my future blog posts ... shoudda try 2 motivate (bribe?) my youngest daughter in order to create these sector lists as watchlists / demo portfolios at my brokers website in order to get also the current $$ weight of each sector? gonna think abt that idea later

my REE fighters (rare earth elements):
  • commerce resources - canada
  • quantum rare earth - usa
  • aurizon mines - canada
  • zimtu capital - canada
  • talon metals - canada
  • arafura resources - australia
  • lynas corp - australia
addendum may 8, 2011:

folks, now i start 2 understand all that REE craziness out there! wanna see the recent price developments?  (source: the latest lynas corp quarterly report)
...
RARE EARTHS PRICES 
Rare Earths supply constraints has further impacted  Rare Earths prices. The average quarterly price for the Mount Weld Rare Earths distribution, on Freight on Board  (FOB) China basis, increased to US$ 92.84/kg  REO, which is  an increase of  over 49% across the quarter. Prices continue to increase post quarter end and as at 27 April 2011, the average price for the Mount Weld Rare Earths composition was US$ 160.32/kg on a FOB China basis.  
...