Showing posts with label volkswagen. Show all posts
Showing posts with label volkswagen. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 28, 2011

MAN = trucks + buses + engines ... next AGM 2day

2011's AGM 2day: well, after volkswagen (VW) increased its share in MAN above the 30% level, the most important issue was the future cooperation between VW + MAN + SCANIA. my guess? sooner or later there will be only VW or its 100% owned subsidiaries next to seat, skoda, porsche, audi, bentley, lamborghini ... of course its pity, just remember MAN is a really traditional bavarian company with over 250 years of history!

of course, there was a little bit abt MAN's business as well: a successful year is over, higher revenue, profit from operations, dividends, no. 1 market is china prolly because of the huge ship diesel engines sold there ... and yes, MAN went green! ecology, which basically means lower gas consumption) is the no. 1 issue :-)

lets show ya 2 of the products presented:
the next generation ecological / economical truck or just a future truck of the future?

hybrid (city) bus

what abt last years event? just follow this link :-)

Monday, April 5, 2010

what abt trucks? MAN's AGM

last thursday there was the 130th (or the like) AGM for the MAN shareholders. of course, there were many ups and downs in company's more than 250 years old history, the recent corruption and power struggle scandal was just the latest sad episode ... well, volkswagen's (VW) almighty rowdy god ferdinand piëch won again and the former soooo sympathetic and sooooo succesful CEO hakan samuelsson lost his job :-(

i was very interested abt MAN's outlook for the future, so i accepted to endure hearing to grandpa piëch's soooo slow and soooo boring speach (besides his VW functions he is also the chairman of the advisory board @ MAN because of VW's 29% stake in MAN) and been there from the very start. MAN's business decreased in 2009 by approx 30% as in the financial crisis out there, both the car (trucks & buses) + the diesel engines (ships & power plants, esp. solar energy power plants) divisions suffered badly. thx to samuelsson's lead MAN managed to make a small profit anyway, there will also be a small dividend at my account on monday ... btw, did you know that more than 50% of all ship transportation worldwide is driven by MAN diesel power engines? well, as ive expected the economy prospects are still baaaad, baaaaad, baaaad :-(

damn! what is the motivation for the already 73 years old millionaire/billionaire piëch (btw, he is the grandson of the great ferdinand porsche, who has already in 1899 constructed an electric car) not to slow down, not to simply enjoy his life, not to let other folks continue his work and run 'his' car imperium? it is s.th. tied-up with his tough battlesome character, isnt it?

im not sure if my list of volkswagen's holdings (often 100% or some other major stake) is complete, but its a lot anyway:
  • audi
  • bentley
  • bugatti
  • lamborghini
  • MAN
  • scania
  • seat
  • skoda
  • suzuki
  • porsche
  • volkswagen 
useful links:

Monday, October 27, 2008

next crash(y) monday + short-squeeze @ volkswagen

folks, it's unbelievable. it's the next crashy october monday, already the 3rd!!! but not for volkswagen :o). almost everything went down: nikkei -6%; dax -4% => look at the top dax sub-window, here is the second BEST (!) stock losing more than 7% in the early morning; silver -6%; gold -3%, just VW didn't! the poor VW-short-sellers :o(. after 5 lucky days for them such a mess today (esp. a 70% gap up!)


volkswagen (VW) was back on planet earth last week ... and is in the stock heaven again :o)) => update on last week's post:
as the stock markets stabilized a little and there are not many margin calls in the books of speculators like me (or some heavily capitalized hedge funds :-), these evil guys can hold and increase their VW shorts and bring its share price back to a more realistic level – in the last few days lost VW about 50% of its (over-)value as its share price fell from 430 to 210 €uros .... yesterday porsche announced that it will increase its share @ VW and today started VW with a 70% gap up and rose more than 200% to €635. closing price was 520 euros, a daily gain of 146.62%. next day (28.10.2008) the same game => VW rose in less than a hour from €471 to €1,005 and closed @ 945 euros, which is 81.73% more than yesterday. its market capitalization? 277.83 billion euros, it is the most 'valuable' company now ... that's a short-squeeze, isn't it?


the possible reasons for that crashy overall market developments? see my older blogpost.

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

who understands the silver market?

as started yesterday, silver continues to live its own life! heeeeee? didn't you see its crazy movements 'against' its usual correlation buddies gold (direct corr.) + usd (indirect corr.) => ???

what could be the reason for that? my guess is, that SILVER IS ALREADY SOOOOO CHEAP, that there is not a single person on this whole freaking planet who would sell silver futures bellow its current price – no matter if gold is faaaaalling further or even the usd riiiising against eur, yen!
btw, please, please do not forget, that we speak just about the price of ‘paper silver’! you will have big, big difficulties to buy physical silver like 1 oz coins or bars at any precious metals dealer as the supply is death. even if they had some silver you will be overwhelmed about its spread to current paper price and ask yourself: ‘damned hell, why do the comex guys provide (+ manipulate?) the price of paper silver and not the price of real silver which i have to pay if i wanna get some silver and thus protect myself against state ordered robbery (=inflation) and a sad poor house future of myself?’ ask them :o))

ok, my both silver positions were stopped out with a small profit yesterday, so let’s wait for a new market entry. when? if gold would make me that favor and fall to the area of $750 again, maybe that could be a good entry? but don't forget, if the usd is rising against eur, it is not the best time to be (heavily) invested in gold, silver, commodities, …


volkswagen (VW) is back on planet earth ...
as the stock markets stabilized a little and there are not many margin calls in the books of speculators like me (or some heavily capitalized hedge funds :-), these evil guys can hold and increase their VW shorts and bring its share price back to a more realistic level – in the last 4 days lost VW about 40% of its (over-)value as its share price fell from 430 to 230 €uros .... and friday (24.10.2008 to 210 euros. than porsche announced on the weekend that it will increase its share and on monday 27.10.2008 rose VW more than 200% to € 630 and closed @520 euros, a daily gain of 146.62%. next day (28.10.2008) the same game => VW rose in less than a hour from €471 to €1.005 and closed @ 945 euros, which is 81,73% more than yesterday. its market capitalization? 277,83 billion euros. that's a short-squeeze, isn't it?

... and in the stock heaven again :o)). the possible reasons for that strange development? see my older blogpost.


my trades:
tecdax entered because i thought the stock markets will go up; it didn't; my opinion was wrong; my tight stop order was processed => ok, that's trading

toronto60, entered because i thought the stock markets will go up; it didn't; my opinion was wrong; my tight stop order was processed => ok, that's trading

+ 17 DJIA trades: i had 9 winners and 8 losers today, my best trade was a winner with $55, the worst trade was a loss of $26.
in the beginning i've lost few bucks as the market didn't like my opinion. then came my big, big trade and i could make up all the losses from tecdax, toronto60 and todays DJIA trades and had a small profit in my CFD-indexes-window. later i made some break, this time probably in the right moment as the market started to fall down after i've made nice profits on the long side for some time ... after the break and @ a much lower level i've bet that the DJIA will recover again (do you still remember our PPT?), but it didn't and even fell like a stone from its weaky stock heaven, so i've lost mostly all profits and decided to quit my DJIA trading with a small 'symbolic' gain of €2.31 => that's ok, that's trading :-))


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed #4
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (buy) / limit (sell)
trade type--------: long
entry date--------: 10/21/2008, 19:14
entry price-------: 9,111
initial stop-loss--: 9,091 ... ... ... this field must never be empty :-)
new stop-loss----: 9,112 > 9,166
exit date---------: 10/21/2008, 19:25
exit price---------: 9,166
profit (loss) in %-: 0.6 %
profit (loss)------: $55
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some big movements in late market trading lessons learned: market liked my bet and moved in right direction; later i could grab few moe points on the way up => ok :-)

Monday, October 13, 2008

the markets are craaazy!

crazy monday or crazy people? that's the question ...

on friday crashed the german, japanese, u.s. stocks by up to -9% and the fear was everywhere! on the weekend decided the western european politicians to bail out the whole financial industry and promised the hugest money package in history of this planet (of course, it is money out of thin air as usual, because ALL of that countries run budget deficits and NONE of them has any significant savings, currency reserves or the like!); great britain decided even to buy shares of its banks, ... some additional comments needed? yes? really? ok, that's SOCIALISM FOR THE RICH !!!

well, the markets liked this bail-out! the german dax rose 11.4 % (!!!) as the worst performing stock (our lonely star on stock heaven volkswagen) rose 'just' 3.23% and 21 of 30 companies had double digit gains! especially the 7 finance companies led by hypo real estate with +39.9% had huge gains. why? well, they will get all these taxpayers money directly ;-((

what about the u.s. markets? no comments needed, just look at the following table and tell me if u remember a day like that :-)):

dow jones .. 9.413,34 / +962,15 points / +11,38%
S&P500 ..... 1.005,91 / +106,69 points / +11,86%
nasdaq100 .. 1.429,54 / +159,74 points / +12,58%

what about my commodities? they rose slightly but not enough to move my initial stop-loss-levels higher and secure the virtual gains. and what about my trades today? here we go:


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #1
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (sell) / stop (buy)
trade type--------: short
entry date--------: 10/13/2008, 18:52
entry price-------: 8,994
initial stop-loss--: 9,011
new stop-loss----: 8,993
exit date---------: 10/13/2008, 18:56
exit price---------: 8,993
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: $ 1
reason why + strategy: trying to trade some big moves in DJIA which i've expected as a profit taking selling because of unbelievable daily gains +9% after the HUUUUGE european bailout of financial institutions
lessons learned: nice trade; clever and FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit as the DJIA moved fast in proposed direction; nice stop-loss-limit later on to secure the profit => the market ran just short time in my direction and turned back => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #2
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (sell) / stop (buy)
trade type--------: short
entry date--------: 10/13/2008, 18:58
entry price-------: 8,983
initial stop-loss--: 8,997
new stop-loss----: 8,982
exit date---------: 10/13/2008, 19:02
exit price---------: 8,982
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: $ 1
reason why + strategy: see above ...
lessons learned: nice trade; clever and FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit as the DJIA moved fast in proposed direction; nice stop-loss-limit later on to secure the profit => the market ran just short time in my direction and turned back => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #3
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (sell) / stop (buy)
trade type--------: short
entry date--------: 10/13/2008, 19:03
entry price-------: 8,979
initial stop-loss--: 8,991
new stop-loss----: 8,969
exit date---------: 10/13/2008, 19:10
exit price---------: 8,969
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: $ 10
reason why + strategy: see above ...
lessons learned: nice trade; clever and FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit as the DJIA moved fast in proposed direction; nice stop-loss-limit later on to secure the profit => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #4
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (sell) / stop (buy)
trade type--------: short
entry date--------: 10/13/2008, 19:20
entry price-------: 8,968
initial stop-loss--: 8,979
new stop-loss----:
exit date---------: 10/13/2008, 19:22
exit price---------: 8,979
profit (loss) in %-:
profit (loss)-------: ($ 11)
reason why + strategy: see above ...
lessons learned: clever and FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit; the market didn't run in my anticipated direction ; exit with small loss after my initial stop-loss-limit was hit => OK


item--------------: DJIA >> position closed, #5
units--------------: 1
order type--------: market (sell) / stop (buy)
trade type--------: short
entry date--------: 10/13/2008, 19:27
entry price-------: 8,961
initial stop-loss--: 8,981
new stop-loss----: 8,941
exit date---------: 10/13/2008, 19:33
exit price---------: 8,941
profit (loss) in %-: 0.22%
profit (loss)-------: $ 20
reason why + strategy: see above ...
lessons learned: nice trade; clever and FAST placement of initial stop-loss-limit as the DJIA moved fast in proposed direction; the market ran some time in my direction and i could place a nice stop-loss-limit to secure a nice profit => OK


btw, after that i've take a break (i was sooooo tired already :) and wanted come back for the last 30 trading minutes to trade the next swing down. what an illusion! the market changed its direction and moved up more than 100 points (till market close even additional 350 points => short-squeeze or PPT?) as if there were no stock-exchanges tomorrow! is that usual? are the folks buying at that levels normal? well, even when earning few bucks i was today definitely on the wrong side of the market an couldn't believe what i saw and was therefore not able to switch my mind today :o)


update on 2008 financial crisis:
after this small break on monday + tuesday, the crisis continued on wednesday: http://jarogruber.blogspot.com/2008/10/fear-instaed-of-greed.html

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

how bad is the current financial mess really?

folks, it's crazy!!! 6 central banks cut its interest rates in an emergency action today! usa, europe, great britain, ... cut the rates by soooo much (0.5 points) at the same time! how bad is the current financial mess really? i expect the markets will sell-off, but i hope i'm wrong as that would probably transfer the current financial crisis into a whole-economy-crisis! well, in few minutes will the u.s. stock exchanges open trading => we will see what happens next ...

... and the stocks did sell-off! but our PPT helped once again as there was some very strange buying after a dangerous -2% loss, then stocks bounced up, but to the end of the trading day they fell to their daily lows again, which is worse than bad for future developments :o(

(following passages are extracted from my posts @ http://www.informedtrades.com/135568-will-fed-lower-its-target-rate.html):

PLAN A.) the gold standard will come back to planet earth! earthlings, how do you feel about that? i mean, when all these folks outside take all their money from all these greedy banks. what about the fractional reserve banking? jaro, what does it mean? just answer 1 simple question: who are the first 10% @ the bank counter? assure you are among them as there are not more reserves there, if any! don't worry, cheers!

PLAN B.) we will get some next monetary reform and all the middle class will be swept away and all folks without gold, silver, land, houses (yes, houses!), oil, factories, van goghs, picassos, warhols etc. anyway. cheers again!


just look at the markets: fear + madness everywhere ...

japan: nikkei225 -9.38%
eurostoxx50 -6.54%
germany: dax30 -6.3% => here are 29 of 30 stocks negative, just volkswagen is not! no, there is no corporate buyback @volkswagen just now, there is just huuuuuge speculation out there. many trading blogs, stock newsletters and even money managers try to short volkswagen. my ex-money manager (i've fired him in the early march 2008) has shorted volkswagen at levels about 180 euros. his put options become worthless long time ago. yesterday quoted volkswagen @452 euros => short-squeeze! [10/28/2008, next short-squeeze, top €635, daily close €520]. well, there are many reasons why should volkswagen fall in price (it is more worth than mercedes, bmw, fiat, pegueot/citroen, GM, ford, nissan + renault + ... COMBINED! it is even more worth than toyota! this could be too much); but there are also some reasons why it could rise further [the 4 major stockholders: porsche (= majority owner) + the state of niedersachsen + porsche family members + piech family members DO NOT SELL any shares, so there is a limited supply, which is not good for the shorties trying to cover their shorts ;o]

______________________________________
volkswagen (VW) vs. rest of the world ... found today in webspace :o)

Toyota ... = 92 Mrd. Euro
VW ....... = 94 Mrd. Euro (>> 10/28/2008, €277.83 billion, intraday even much higher! VW is now the most 'valuable' company on earth! do you know what is the market capitalization of VW's majority owner porsche? about €8 billion. any additional comments needed?)
---------------------------
BMW ..... = 14,78 Mrd. Euro
Daimler .. = 24,02 Mrd. Euro
Renault .. = 9,59 Mrd. Euro
Peugeot . = 5,07 Mrd. Euro
Fiat ...... = 8,26 Mrd. Euro
GM ....... = 3,22 Mrd. Euro
Ford ...... = 4,84 Mrd. Euro
Mitsubishi = 4,66 Mrd. Euro
Hyundai .. = 8,18 Mrd. Euro
---------------------------
TOTAL ... = 82,62 Mrd. Euro
______________________________________


well, yesterday were the markets not any better as there was a lot of speculation about the expected emergency cut of rates ... in my opinion would every change of rates (especially a big one) bring additional fear into the current (irrational?) markets and additional sell-offs. just no change could add some stability ...
btw, in germany rallied today the highest capitalized stock (volkswagen) more than 40% from 290 euros to 452 (short-squeeze, see above :-) after that it fell back to 287 (-1.83%). do you call that efficient and/or rational markets? just in case you would think there was some company-related message out there today - there was none!

cheers again and again,
j.


please do not think that the worst was over, we were just in a middle of the crashy-week. if you still can handle our current financial mess, please follow (by a brave mouse click) to my comments on crash-friday: http://jarogruber.blogspot.com/2008/10/few-bucks-arrived-on-my-account-lets.html


2008 financial crisis:
just in case you've forgotten former analysis (+ possible solution :-) of this financial misery, here is the link4u: http://jarogruber.blogspot.com/2008/10/2008-financial-crisis-not-just-subprime.html