Saturday, September 26, 2009

#jarobuys cobalt + gold (formation metals + petaquilla minerals)

folks, folks, folks .... i'm such a crazy, stock exchange & shopping addicted alien!

well, i've been yesterday @ a resource conference in the best hotel bayerischer hof in munich, where 5 explorer companies + 1 trading company + the local stock exchange presented their stories to investors + general public + ... few of the companies and many of the guests have there been last year also and i could remember few of them ... i think it's nice to see some of the 'old' faces again, isn't it?

do u think there was much volume in their stocks today morning on the german stock exchanges? not reallly, few of them didn't trade at all! well, the earthlings are much more interested in free lunch (oooops, that was dinner time) + free beer + free coffee than to do some thinking for themselves ... not me! well, i just thought if that canadian companies have soooooo much money they could afford 2 invite the folks to the best place in town, they will prolly have some potential to upgrade their business anyway :). pls DO NOT TELL ME that the only reason they have 2 advertise like that is 'cos their projects are so sh*ty and they need sooooooooo much money 2 bring them into production and so on and on and on and on ...

i didn't know 2 of these 5 companies and i liked the story of the near-term cobalt producer formation capital corp. ... in winter 2009 renamed to formation metals (mines & major properties located in idaho / usa). well, even if i have invested last big portion of my idle money in july and early august as i've waited 4 the gold rally 2 come in august and was not at all dissapointed when it came in september instead, so i've opened just a small initial position in formation capital today. let's watch the company developments and maybe there will be a point in the future where i will have both, money 2 invest and faith in their operations 2 increase my stake . you know what? 3 of my portfolio companies sterling, sns, minco still fight in various legal issues on the sunshine silver mine / idaho. watch out, formation posses the Sunshine Precious Metals Refinery. crazy, isn't it?

what's the price of cobalt? i've no clue about that as there are mainly long term contracts between producers & consumers out there, BUT NEXT SPRING should cobalt become traded @ LME !!! it should bring much more public attention to that $6 billion market, isn't it?

what is cobalt used for? if i remember that correctly, it's for batteries, batteries and batteries, i think . hell, that formation guy was right! he told that todays so famous lithium-ion batteries contain more cobalt (approx. 60%) than anything else! wikipedia also confirms that from investment perspective so important fact "... Lithium cobalt oxide (LiCoO2) is widely used in Lithium ion battery electrodes.[23] Nickel-cadmium (NiCd) and nickel metal hydride (NiMH) batteries also contain significant amounts of cobalt. ... " still wanna know more about cobalt? ok, pls move 2 wikipedia 2 learn.

what about gold? few days ago i've also increased my stake in panama's emerging gold producer petaquilla minerals (see comment #6), which is one of very few companies in my portfolio they didn't decrease sharply as the gold price corrected a little this week, which draw down my struggling portfolio from its recently reached break-even-point by approx. -5%

hmmmm, i just thought if i'm really such an easy to impact dreamer or the like, so i just checked my results achieved with stocks of this kind of tip / information. folks, it is really unbelievable, but for some strange reason or an other that companies belong 2 my best performers! well, they didn't go up straight away after i've bought them and they've also been hit sooooo hard in that damned crashy october 2008 (pls, pls, pls, never come back!), but i've watched their developments and in few of them even increased my stakes between december 2008 and february 2009 aaaaaand => HERE WE GO:
  • western potash +99,29%
  • commerce resources +206,07% ... ohhh, in yesterday's so weak stock market additional +11,67%. damn, what's going up out there :o)
  • zimtu capital +161,94%
  • western geopower +43,88%
  • megastar development +41,67%
  • adamus res. +45,12%
  • dundee precious metals +57,39%
  • formation capital -5,13%
  • burcon nutrascience +5,15%
yep, i see, i should just buy companies @ presentations, isn't it?
in case u ask yourself why do i buy mostly small unknown companies and not the soooo successful blue chips, here is the answer: i've worked for siemens + bmw for sooooo many years and i've recognized there is 1 thing huge companies have in common: they waste soooo much of owners' (shareholders') money in such a stupid way that i think there is no need to give them my money on top. chakkkka!
addendum, november 18, 2009:
big, big, big fraud @ petaquilla minerals !!!
folks, now i know why this sh*ty GOLD PRODUCER stock fell the last few months like a stone from heaven even facing these so enjoyable record gold prices ...
the company news were positive, i asked even their PR team if the management is fire selling the stock 'caus there was no reason visible from outside the company and got just the message that some director will respond soon, what he of course never did ...
you know what? today came the news that the company GOT THE NEEDED APPROVAL by some panama's (panamanean?) authority 2 operate the gold mine .... hell, that means the directors knew it doesn't look nice for the company, dropped the stock ... the price lost approx 50% in few days ... thx goodness and sooooooo fine 4 my portfolio 2day becomed the opposite option true and the mine approval is here. the stock is +91.11% now ... and +111.11% as i've finished that blog post ... and 2day's high was +126.67% ... and the closing quote is +117.78%(!!!).
well, my recently bought position is slightly positive again, the managers are buying their stock back like crazy (just my guess, they didn't tell me anything as i wrote above, but you know, just look @ the recent volume and compare it to the average ... )
anyway, I DO NOT LIKE PETAQUILLA ANYMORE :-(
ps: the symbol is PTQ (@ TSX in toronto)
addendum, november 20, 2009
folks, i've got a call from petaquilla's PR guy luigi 2day ... what do u think was the message? of course, petaquilla lives in the best of all worlds ... now, where the mine permit is there + production rising + cash-flow flowing + plans 4 the future developing ...
what abt my question concerning the huge sell-off even if the gold reached one all-time-high after the next? .... hmmmm, you know ... there was no information to the shareholders for a long period of time (wanna move 2 company's homepage & check it?) .... you know ... one leaving manager was selling his stock (was he really? whould u sell a stock when the company has just started earning money? me not! even if i was an exploration expert moving 2 next opportunity i would hold all my shares + enjoy the ongoing gold production + cash-flow + dividends etc. )
well, the tape will tell us the truth soon!
on the other side, it was a very pleasant discusion and hopefully will that petaquilla-speculation work out well 4 me btw, in the past i've got already optimistic + very positive emails from CEOs and/or public relations folks from companies which went bankrupt just weeks later (web2corp) or have fallen 2 abt zero like bernanke's short term interest rates (greenshift, current quote is $0.0008 ... it is not a typo!)
addendum, november 30, 2009:
folks, luigi was right, right, right! petaquilla is +18.37% today, my latest purchase (approx 2 months ago) is +58,39% already and my overall investment needs just a small increase of approx 9% to reach the break-even point (=> tomorrow?). well the bad feeling abt the recent strange developments (see above) will stay much longer :-(
some other commodity highlights from my portfolio 2day?
  • Aquila Resources +54.17%
  • Genco Resources +21.65%
  • Magma Energy +11.11%
  • Rochester Resources -11.36%
  • Source Exploration +15.91%
  • Sterling Mining -10.00%
let's read the company news, if any, from aquila + genco + sterling, maybe there is some major change in company fundamentals :o)
explorer stocks are soooo risky and sometimes sooooo exciting! there is no need for options/warrants/etc. LOL
... 5 minutes later ... aquila? drill results! ... Aquila Resources and HudBay Minerals Back Forty Drilling Intersects 20.2 Meters of 11.5 Grams Per Tonne Gold and 119.7 Grams Per Tonne Silver8:31 AM ET, November 30, 2009...
folks, just 2 let you know how crashy the stupid october 2008 crash in the explorer business really was, i'm gonna tell u how is my overall aquila position performing till now: hell, even if i've more than doubled my initial number of shares in january 2009 near the all-time-low quote, i'm still -52,10% down, down, down .... hmmmm, do you think, they will release some next drill results like e.g. (just my guess) 40.4 Meters of 23 Grams Per Tonne Gold sooooooooon? will they?
go, commodities, go!

addendum, december 2, 2009
folks, i'm not going 2 bore u every day with the latest petaquilla quote (promised!), but you know what?
yesterday was my break-even-point for the complete petaquilla investment, 2day is petaquilla +33.33%. crazy, isn't it? just think abt bondholders! they often need years 2 reach a 30% profit and then they have 2 pay taxes on that gain ... hell, that's boring! well, the volume was 5 times higher than the average, of course was there no company news release or anything else what would fundamentally legitimate that increase ... but who cares if the things are working fine?
well, now u know why i do not trade these kind of stocks or evaluate their charts or set stop limits :=). explorer stocks are like lottery, you never know how high/deep they will go if folks becomes fearful/greedy! btw, u still remember vg gold's +127% move up on a day when rob mcewen announced his investment in it? btw, the stock is much higher now ...
heaven, this investment stuff is soooooo easy!

Saturday, September 19, 2009

#jarobuys silver, acadian mining, kws saat, private owned, bravo venture

folks, after our cheaper than expected vacation there is still some money left into my pockets => let's go shopping :-)

  • silver long $17.33 (incl. spread, no commissions) - i thought the silver price will bounce back up 2 days ago, it didn't ... therefore i expect my stop loss limit @ 16.93 will become active soon if it already didn't yesterday evening as i can't open my trading platform just now (that would be a loss of $40 per 1 CFD contract) ... #jarosells silver @ $16.93, my position got wiped out. i'm not sure if the silver future actually fell bellow $16.95 on friday as my favorite commodity-price-website shows the daily low $16.99 instead. i will check that later, but just in case when silver will not fell bellow my limit on monday in some more regular way ... anyway, my OTC broker is also the market maker in that CFD trading platform and thus 'allowed' to make its own quotes ...
  • acadian mining €0.054 (without commissions) - one of very few precious metals explorers/producers where the share price didn't advance 20-50% in the last month in the recent bull market upswing ... i think the share price of acadian mining could start to reflect that soooo positive news flow soon, what's your opinion?
  • bravo venture €0.336 (without commissions) - like acadian, bravo also didn't advance much in the last 4 weeks, yesterday it even fell bellow my purchase level. let's watch how will that position develop in the next months/years :-)
  • kws saat €114.6 (without commissions) - well, i had no extra 200 €uros few months ago 2 buy 2 shares when that big german agricultural (seeds) producer (watch out, monsanto!) quoted bellow €100. even with the commission of €10 my avarage price would stay bellow 100 €uros. on wednesday i've bought 3 shares and moved that position from my watchlist into my portfolio finally! i liked the owner structure of that traditional stock (est. 1856) as there are still 2 families who own a major part of the company (56%) and i'm sure that unlike bonus-oriented-managers of common stock companies the owners wish that the company will provide profits also for their next generations. let's take part in that! btw, a buddy of mine is a remote relative of the actual owners, that's the reason i know the company :-). a small bonus 4 mathematicians among us: folks, what do u think, at what price would my profit on 3 a little bit more expensive purchased shares overweight the profit of 2 cheaper purchased shares? in the 1st step (to make that exercise easier) pls do not consider the dividend of €1.70 per share in your calculations, but 2 get the whole 'picture' u should do it in the 2nd step, will u? hmmmmmm, did warren buffett say that the biggest part of the profit in stock investing is in the cheap purchase price? or was it someone else? it's prolly right ... the solution for the 1st step of our '3 vs. 2 shares computing game' shows that the break even point will be reached at about the €150 level! there is still a long way 2 go, isn't it?

good luck my shiny investments :-)

ps: when is the best time 2 sell gold/silver and gold/silver stocks? i think we could use the gold-dow-ratio as an proper indicator again. let's think about selling when the ratio will reach levels bellow 3. what's your opinion?

addendum, december 18, 2009: hell! 2day is the moment i've understood what private companies are there for!

folks, you still remember my purchase of few shares of KWS saat, the traditional german seeds/agriculture specialists? they are controlled by 2 families and there is just abt 33.1% of free floating shares on the market ... i'm just gonna 2 tell u the issue #2 from their AGM 2009 invitation (btw, the #1 was just some sort of 'hello folks' i think :-):

Re item 2 on the agenda: Resolution on the appropriation of the net retained profit

The Executive Board and the Supervisory Board propose utilizing the net retained profit of € 12,310,000.00 from the net income of KWSSAAT AG for 2008/2009 as follows: Distribution of a dividend of € 1,80 for each of the total of 6,600,000 shares € 11,880.000.00. Net profit brought forward € 430,000.00. The dividend will be paid on or after December 18, 2009.

now u also know the purpose of private companies, don't u? hell, it is sooo easy! just 2 make money for the owners :-)

Saturday, August 22, 2009

vacation @ bali / indonesia :-)

watch out indonesia, watch out komodo dragons, we are coming :-)

folks, of course i'm happy 2 leave tomorrow 2 bali and see a new countryside, new people, new culture ... but i'm such a stupid idiot!!!! i've lost my credit card today :-(. well, i hope i will find it tomorrow morning somewhere in the kitchen or the like. if not i have to call the card company from the airport and block my account ...

damned hell! three weeks completely dependent on my wife as she still has her credit cards. oh, my dear :-(

update on 31 augustus 2009 (thx, MS windows)

service desert germany! folks, it was NOT POSSIBLE to block just my lost card! even not possible to speak to a real person! well, we have blocked ALL credit cards of our account at the automatic phone service ... any cold comfort? yeahhh, i hold all eur & usd cash, so now is my wife dependent on me!

BALI? small + nice + friendly! thx goodness bali is shaped by very tolerant hindu religion, so it is a pleasure to move around, meet people etc.

we have seen some temples, rice terraces, villages, jungle, volcanos already ... tomorrow rafting + elephant trekking ... and the most time: pool, beach, books, waves + sun :-)

update on september, 6th 2009 ... => new monetary system? candy money!

folks, indonesia has launched a new monetary system yet - CANDY MONEY -
well, in a country where prolly everyone is a millionaire and even tourists becomes millionaires by changing $100 in local currency - rupiah - there should be some problems with change coins, isn't it? btw, how would you give back a change of 43,350 rupiah if the smallest common coin is 500 rupiah? here we go, it is 43,000 in bad quality paper money + 3 menthol candys

watch out, money markets! watch out, fx traders!! watch out, central banks!!! watch out, inflation!!!!! the candy money system arrived on planet earth :-)

well, the cash desks in big indonesian supermarkets are full of paper money (bad taste) and sweets (also money, but really good taste)


update on september, 16th 2009 ... => back @home

hi mates,

i'm back now ... it was really nice + interesting + i've finally got some cash through the EC-money-card of our eldest daughter after 2 weeks (~ EuroCheck, just an european account card, not a 'real' credit card like visa, master card)

my overall impressions? there are sooo many of them ... nice countryside; dangerous waves designed just 4 surfers and not for swimmers only visitors with children like us; very commercial tourist services; baksheesh; crowded streets; dogs & chickens walking on the streets; walls + walls + walls everywhere (holding deamons aside?); rice terraces; volcanos; very similar looking temples; gods & ghosts & deamons; IMHO very inefficient spent money on gift sets 4 gods/ghost (3 x daily) and especially on very costly religious ceremonies e.g. 4 burning died family members; exotic fruits (rambutan, mangosteen, papaya, dragon fruit, snake fruit, passion fruit, maracuja, durian [pfui teufl! smells and tastes like toilet! how can mankind plant & eat s.th. like that? DO NOT TRY it !], pineapple, java cherry [folks, i've tried few of them straight from the tree without peeling or boiling them and survived! prolly 'caus i've felt already like at home there and thus even didn't wash them ] + some others where i've forgotten the names already ..., almost only japanese motocycles + cars [heya european + american producers, did u forgot that part of earth?], cheap restaurants with very friendly staff, almost everywhere free wireless internet access available [europe is years behind indonesia in that area!], super duper thai airways service and sooo modern plane equipment => well, everyone had his own screen + remote control panel and thus i could watch movies or play games against any other passenger on board, but after loosing many times in a row against my daughters even in my former favorite game TETRIS i didn't challenge any passenger as i've been sooooo ashamed ... but loosing on the finance markets causes even more pain, isn't it?

what about my trip 2 java 2 unesco's world cultural heritage temples borobudur (budhist) + prambanan (hinduist)? first of all, i had to change all my believes about java there!!! it was not crowded + 100% urbanized + without any field / forest / park / free space / etc. there!!! at least not in the yogjakarta area. by some coincidence of fortune i've got an experienced and sooooo inteligent + friendly travel guide there just for me alone, what a nice day!

btw, i will also post some travel pictures on picasa / facebook / twitter soon.

ps: my stocks went up like crazy in the last 3 'vacation' weeks, mostly because of advanced gold/silver prices and of course besause of the advanced general stock market. folks, i still hate the crashy october 2008 soooo much! btw, U2? well, if my stocks would rise approx. 1% further my open positions would reach THE BREAK-EVEN-POINT. could you imagine my wife's and my children's surprise? after 3+ years of suffering the hell on earth there would be no damned commets like you fat damned stupid money wasting gorilla moron, you! i hate you sooo much! go to hell or die or both and take all your stupid stocks with you! ... would i hear s.th. like my sweet gorilla guru instead? no way! you don't know my family yet! LOL, just kidding ... btw, it's crazy, but my stocks increased in the recent upswing far-far-far more than i've spend for our 4-folks-family for 3 weeks in indonesia including flight, hotel, trips, gifts, souvenirs, donations, etc.

hey! i like bull markets like the devil the hell . btw, i'm not going 2 sell any stocks soon! why? it's a bull market, you know? i will wait till the gold-dow-ratio will reach at least the level 2 or 3. in the last gold bull market in 1980 fell that ratio to 1. folks, that means 1 oz gold bought the whole dow jones index! great, isn't it?

pps: i've read 2 real interesting investing books there:

A) a special edition about MONEY from spiegel magazine (greeks, romans, gold, silver, kings, trade, industrialization, fiorentina, peruzzis, bardis, medicis, venice, germany, fuggers, holland, tulip bubble, john law, paper money (evil!), south sea company bubble, rothshilds, 1929, inflation, hyperinflation, roosevelt, world wars, karl marx, rockefeller, bretton woods, gold standard, vietnam, nixon, fiat money (evil!), greenspan, internet bubble, bernanke, warren buffet, lehman brothers, the current housing & financial mess out there ... and much more ... just the indonesian inflationary candy money system wasn't mentioned at all => ?!?)

B) my 1st re-read of lefebre's soooo great 'reminiscences of a stock operator' ... well, i'll watch out like hell to NOT REPEAT jesse livermore's mistakes myself AGAIN :-)


final update on september, 17th 2009 ... => pictures uploaded

1) java fotos

2) bali fotos

3) my portfolio in the winning zone again ... after a looooooong time (1+ year?) my stock investments turned positive again! nevertheless, i still hate that damned crashy october 2008

Friday, August 21, 2009

is the gold price manipulated?

well, the most gold bugs forums, gata, gold & silver analysts etc. speak/write about that 100%-sure-issue like about religion .... but is this evil manipulation (to the downside, isn't it? sorry, just kidding :-) really sooooooo bad? hell, why does no one buy the manipulated & soooo cheap paper gold futures and requests physical delivery later on? there are many hedge funds specialized on arbitrage trading out there, isn't it?

and last but not least, what are the production costs for new gold deliveries? well, i do own stocks of sooo many gold/silver producers & explorers aaaaaaand i do subscribe for all of their newsletters ... even if i do not read more than the headline often i do remember that the cash costs per 1 oz @ goldcorp's red lake properties / canada are below $300 (that's $280 or the like!!!), there are many producers with cash costs between $300 - $500 ... and even the south african producers who have to dig really deep do not produce above $600/oz i think (sorry, i'm 2 lazy 2 look up the correct numbers ... it looks like work!)

==> is $940 per 1 oz gold really such a low + manipulated price?

just my 2 cents,
jaro.

ps: goldcorp's red lake mine

pps: we still can buy as much physical gold as we want to, isn't it? there are enough coin dealers, banks, gold account providers + other suppliers out there who offer PHYSICAL gold + silver, so if s.o. thinks the price is artifically low he/she should just grab as much as he/she can :-), so what?

ppps: whoever will try 2 manipulate, GATA's newsletter will tell us first ... ~ GATA ~ Gold Anti-Trust Action commitee
(source: http://gata.org)

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

#jarobuys VERBUNDGESELLSCHAFT

folks, let's take some advantage from lower prices after few days of fear and panic on the stock markets and open a small initial position in that sympathetic austrian green energy producer (esp. water power :-).

well, they are approx. 45% down from their all-time-high in winter 2008 (still remember the damned oil quotations up to $150?), they pay dividends about 3%, there should always be need 4 energy and thus some business 4 verbund ...

btw, why not a huuuuuuuge position straight away? damn! are you kidding? you know i've invested already much more as i should recently (still remember the plundered funds of last resort?)good luck, my green portfolio member :-)

Saturday, August 8, 2009

bitte, bitte, schließt ALLE europäischen börsen !!!

ist das nicht verrückt? den ganzen vormittag dümpeln die börsenkurse sinnlos vor sich hin und her uuuuuuund erst wenn in usa die futures losrennen, entscheidet sich, ob's nun nach oben oder nach unten gehen wird und die vormittagszwischenergebnisseundspinnereienderaltenwelt werden im nu korrigiert ... ;o(( ...

wozu war den das ganze 'vorspiel' gut, geschweige denn nötig? ich persönlich finde es sooooo traurig, daß wir europäer die ganze zeit nur über den großen teich rübergucken u. uns nicht mal trauen eine eigene meinung zu haben, geschweige denn auf einer solchen zu verharren ... sind wir tatsächlich nur eine bedeutungslose provinz der (m.m.n. bereits bankrotten!) u.s. großmacht?

ps: es betrifft ja nicht nur die aktienmärkte, sondern auch rohstoffe, devisen, usw. und sofort ...

pps: vorsicht tirol, wir kommeeeen ... warum? geburtstags- & abstandsgewinnungsfeier :o), so!

in diesem sinne lg aus münchen + gute n8,
j.

09/08/2009:
tirol? es klappert die mühle am rauschenden bach, klipp-klapp, klipp-klapp ...

leute, das volkslied kommt sicherlich aus roßbach in tirol!!! non-stop rauschte der bach vor den fenstern unserer netten pension! wir dachten, das gewitter wird gaaaaar nicht aufhören .... und daß unsere bleibe 'wiesenruh' hieß, wird wohl ein paradox des schicksals gewesen sein :-)

ansonsten fernpaß, fernsteiner see, regen wie aus der gießkanne - zum glück erst wo unser seerundgang inkl. abkürzung, die sich im nachhinein als eine insel-umkreisung entpuppte:) so gut wie beendet war, gutes essen, nette leute, paar campari-orange im einzigen (geöffneten) lokal in unserem kaff ...

so, so ... bis zum näXten mal :-)

übrigens, hier ist der link auf den original be24.at-BElog :-)

#jarobuys acadian mining, ECU silver, sabina silver ... OR who's opinion is right? mr. market's or mine?

well, i do not believe there is much time left 2 buy commodities soooooo cheap for too long especially gold, silver, gas, agriculture ...let's buy some more explorer stocks!
  • acadian mining - Zn, Pb, Ag, Cu, Au in nova scotia / canada. that guys have been HIGHLY bankruptcy endangered few weeks/months ago, but now, where the legal protection (~ canadian chapter 11) on their major asset nova scotia mine is well resolved + a strategical partner invested about $10m + the operations commenced again .... now should be everything fine, well? but why is the stock price still sooooo damned down?!? why does the market not recognize that issue? what's wrong? anyway, let's bet on their recovery! mr. time will prove (soon?) who's opinion was right , mr. market's or mine? btw, what's your guess?
  • sabina silver - Zn, Pb, Ag ... i think they've plenty of cash 2 continue the development of their hackett river mine ... let's lean back + enjoy their progress
  • ECU silver - Ag! they do already produce some silver, have strong partnership with industry leader pan american silver, just the share price doesn't respond accordingly ... who's wrong here? again mr. market? let's bet on that also

ps: folks, pls don't tell my wife i 'wasted' next money on stocks, she'd kill me i think ...